XTRA-GOLD RESOURCES CORP

XTGRFdata completeness 75%23 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'revenue'; no data for concept 'totalDebt'

The thesis, from the filings

XTRA-GOLD RESOURCES CORP earns about 34% on invested capital, far above its ~9% cost of capital, with a roughly flat share count — a real edge showing up in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $0.18 and $2.4 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue
Net income$835,9761$631,7672−$165,9283$1.68M3$3.68M3
Operating cash flow$1.15M4$1.48M5$1.81M6$2.28M6$1.15M6
Capital expenditure$203,4197$259,6028$37,7229$40,8579$247,7419
Free cash flow (derived)$951,3814$1.22M5$1.78M6$2.24M6$901,7986
Total debt
Cash & equivalents$4.68M10$5.78M11$7.15M11$8.18M11$10.5M11
Diluted shares48.9M48.8M46.4M49.0M48.6M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$3.35
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$0.76
Free cash flow it threw off
$0.19
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on $3.35 of net worth that earned you $0.76 and generated $0.19 of cash last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
34% avg · 5y
FY21 20%FY22 16%FY23 14%FY24 52%FY25 69%

It earned about 34% on invested capital, year after year, against a ~9% cost of capital — the footprint of real pricing power. Competition usually drags returns like this back down; here it hasn't.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
−1% shares · 5y

Share count is roughly flat over 5 years — little dilution, little buyback.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $0.18 and $2.4 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$2.4
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth20.0%
  • fcfBase$1.78M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$1.41
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth20.0%
  • fcfBase$1.78M
Earnings Power Value
$0.18
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$835,976
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$0.78
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years20.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $1.41
The three cases
Bear0.0%$0.74
Base20.0%$1.41
Bull20.0%$1.41

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 20.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001062993-24-008783 (NetIncomeLoss)
  2. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001062993-25-009493 (NetIncomeLoss)
  3. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001062993-26-001749 (NetIncomeLoss)
  4. 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001062993-24-008783 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  5. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001062993-25-009493 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  6. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001062993-26-001749 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  7. 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001062993-24-008783 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  8. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001062993-25-009493 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  9. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001062993-26-001749 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  10. 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001062993-25-009493 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  11. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001062993-26-001749 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)