Western New England Bancorp, Inc.

WNEBdata completeness 100%17 fiscal years on file
The thesis, from the filings

Western New England Bancorp, Inc. earns about 24% on invested capital, far above its ~9% cost of capital, and has bought back 13% of its shares over 5 years — the marks of a durable business run for its owners. The estimate methods put fair value between $7.79 and $9.68 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$79.8M1$85.9M2$101.1M3$109.8M3$118.6M3
Net income$23.7M4$25.9M5$15.1M6$11.7M6$15.3M6
Operating cash flow$28.8M7$36.8M8$14.8M9$12.2M9$18.2M9
Capital expenditure$3.46M10$1.14M11$2.9M12$1.2M12$1.07M12
Free cash flow (derived)$25.3M7$35.6M8$11.9M9$11M9$17.1M9
Total debt$41.4M13$16.1M14$5.39M15$13.3M15
Cash & equivalents$103.5M16$30.3M17$28.8M17$66.5M17$40.4M17
Diluted shares23.3M21.9M21.6M21.0M20.3M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$121.86
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$7.51
Free cash flow it threw off
$8.43
Debt you’d be carrying
$6.53

10 shares is a claim on $121.86 of net worth that earned you $7.51 and generated $8.43 of cash last year, against $6.53 of debt.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
24% avg · 5y
FY21 24%FY22 13%FY23 18%FY24 33%FY25 31%

It earned about 24% on invested capital, year after year, against a ~9% cost of capital — the footprint of real pricing power. Competition usually drags returns like this back down; here it hasn't.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
−13% shares · 5y

Share count is down 13% over 5 years — management has been buying back stock, quietly handing owners a bigger slice. Total debt has fallen 68% — deleveraging.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $7.79 and $9.68 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$9.05
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$11.9M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$9.68
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$11.9M
Earnings Power Value
$7.79
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$15.3M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$14.34
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years0.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $9.68
The three cases
Bear0.0%$9.68
Base0.0%$9.68
Bull5.0%$11.7

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 0.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001999371-24-003319 (InterestAndDividendIncomeOperating)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001839882-25-014778 (InterestAndDividendIncomeOperating)
  3. 10-K/A · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001999371-26-006029 (InterestAndDividendIncomeOperating)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001999371-24-003319 (NetIncomeLoss)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001839882-25-014778 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K/A · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001999371-26-006029 (NetIncomeLoss)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001999371-24-003319 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001839882-25-014778 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  9. 10-K/A · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001999371-26-006029 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001999371-24-003319 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  11. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001839882-25-014778 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  12. 10-K/A · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001999371-26-006029 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  13. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001999371-24-003319 (ShortTermBorrowings)
  14. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001839882-25-014778 (ShortTermBorrowings)
  15. 10-K/A · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001999371-26-006029 (ShortTermBorrowings)
  16. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001839882-25-014778 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)
  17. 10-K/A · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001999371-26-006029 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)