vTv Therapeutics Inc.
VTVTdata completeness 63%13 fiscal years on fileData notes: no data for concept 'dilutedShares'; no data for concept 'epsDiluted'
The thesis, from the filings
vTv Therapeutics Inc. earns about -97% on equity. The cash-flow models don't apply cleanly here — the ledger says why below.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.
i. The business — what you’d actually own
| Figure | FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.01M1 | $2.02M2 | $03 | $1.02M3 | $03 |
| Net income | −$13M4 | −$19.2M5 | −$20.3M6 | −$18.5M6 | −$27M6 |
| Operating cash flow | −$19.3M7 | −$16M8 | −$19.1M9 | −$25.3M9 | −$25.3M9 |
| Capital expenditure | $010 | $21,00011 | $011 | $011 | — |
| Free cash flow (derived) | −$19.3M7 | −$16M8 | −$19.1M9 | −$25.3M9 | — |
| Total debt | $256,00012 | — | — | — | — |
| Cash & equivalents | $13.4M13 | $12.1M14 | $9.45M15 | $36.7M16 | $88.9M16 |
| Diluted shares | — | — | — | — | — |
Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).
iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on equity
-97% avg · 5y
FY21 —FY22 —FY23 —FY24 -151%FY25 -42%
It earned an average -97% on equity over 5 years. Compare that to what it costs to fund the business.
seeing a moat in the numbers →Management signal · capital allocation
— shares · 5y
Total debt has held roughly steady.
reading capital allocation →Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.
iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0
DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
not applicable
3y-median FCF non-positive — growth-exit DCF not applicable (see EPV)
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
not applicable
3y-median FCF non-positive — growth-exit DCF not applicable (see EPV)
Earnings Power Value
not applicable
normalized (5y-median) earnings non-positive — EPV undefined
Graham Number
not applicable
diluted EPS missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined
Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →
Sources — the receipts
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001641489-24-000012 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001641489-25-000014 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001641489-26-000010 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001641489-24-000012 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001641489-25-000014 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001641489-26-000010 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001641489-24-000012 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001641489-25-000014 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001641489-26-000010 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001641489-24-000012 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001641489-25-000014 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001564590-22-012258 (ShortTermBorrowings)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001641489-23-000008 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001641489-24-000012 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001641489-25-000014 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
- 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001641489-26-000010 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)