VCI Global Ltd

VCIGdata completeness 100%3 fiscal years on file
The thesis, from the filings

VCI Global Ltd earns about 35% on invested capital, far above its ~9% cost of capital, and has bought back 59% of its shares over 3 years — the marks of a durable business run for its owners. The estimate methods put fair value between $1.38 and $5.37 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2022FY 2023FY 2024
Revenue$8.08M1$19.8M2$27.8M3
Net income$4.9M4$7.77M5$7.87M6
Operating cash flow−$305,1027$1.15M8$22.3M9
Capital expenditure$379,09210$433,92211$327,07712
Free cash flow (derived)−$684,1947$717,3068$22M9
Total debt$248,23913$201,03214$182,39115
Cash & equivalents$870,72016$1.04M17$8.1M17
Diluted shares36.8M38.0M15.0M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$57.61
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$5.26
Free cash flow it threw off
$14.65
Debt you’d be carrying
$0.12

10 shares is a claim on $57.61 of net worth that earned you $5.26 and generated $14.65 of cash last year, against $0.12 of debt.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
35% avg · 3y
FY22 59%FY23 35%FY24 10%

It earned about 35% on invested capital, year after year, against a ~9% cost of capital — the footprint of real pricing power. Competition usually drags returns like this back down; here it hasn't.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
−59% shares · 3y

Share count is down 59% over 3 years — management has been buying back stock, quietly handing owners a bigger slice. Total debt has fallen 27% — deleveraging.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $1.38 and $5.37 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$1.45
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$717,306
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$1.38
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$717,306
Earnings Power Value
$5.37
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$7.77M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
not applicable
diluted EPS missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years5.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $1.38
The three cases
Bear0.0%$1.21
Base5.0%$1.38
Bull10.0%$1.58

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 5.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001575872-23-000741 (Revenue)
  2. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001213900-24-037483 (Revenue)
  3. 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001213900-25-042476 (Revenue)
  4. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001575872-23-000741 (ProfitLossAttributableToOwnersOfParent)
  5. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001213900-24-037483 (ProfitLossAttributableToOwnersOfParent)
  6. 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001213900-25-042476 (ProfitLossAttributableToOwnersOfParent)
  7. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001575872-23-000741 (CashFlowsFromUsedInOperatingActivities)
  8. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001213900-24-037483 (CashFlowsFromUsedInOperatingActivities)
  9. 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001213900-25-042476 (CashFlowsFromUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001575872-23-000741 (PurchaseOfPropertyPlantAndEquipmentClassifiedAsInvestingActivities)
  11. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001213900-24-037483 (PurchaseOfPropertyPlantAndEquipmentClassifiedAsInvestingActivities)
  12. 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001213900-25-042476 (PurchaseOfPropertyPlantAndEquipmentClassifiedAsInvestingActivities)
  13. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001575872-23-000741 (Borrowings)
  14. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001213900-24-037483 (Borrowings)
  15. 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001213900-25-042476 (Borrowings)
  16. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001213900-24-037483 (CashAndCashEquivalents)
  17. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001213900-25-042476 (CashAndCashEquivalents)