UNITED RENTALS, INC. earns about 11% on invested capital, and has bought back 11% of its shares over 5 years. The applicable estimate puts fair value near $375.21 a share. Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.
| Figure | FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.26B1 | $2.5B2 | $3.4B3 | $3.59B3 | $3.7B3 |
| Net income | $1.39B4 | $2.11B5 | $2.42B6 | $2.58B6 | $2.49B6 |
| Operating cash flow | $3.69B7 | $4.43B8 | $4.7B9 | $4.55B9 | $5.19B9 |
| Capital expenditure | $3.2B10 | $3.69B11 | $3.86B11 | $4.13B11 | — |
| Free cash flow (derived) | $491M7,10 | $743M8,11 | $840M9,11 | $416M9,11 | — |
| Total debt | $9.69B12,13 | $11.4B14,15 | $11.5B16,17 | $13.4B18,19 | $14.2B20,21 |
| Cash & equivalents | $144M22 | $106M23 | $363M24 | $457M25 | $459M25 |
| Diluted shares | 72.8M | 71.0M | 68.7M | 66.6M | 64.6M |
Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom). A derived or summed figure cites every filing line it was built from.
10 shares is a claim on $1,388.15 of net worth that earned you $386.04 last year, against $2,202.5 of debt.
It earned an average 11% on invested capital over 5 years. Compare that to what it costs to fund the business.
seeing a moat in the numbers →Share count is down 11% over 5 years — management has been buying back stock, quietly handing owners a bigger slice. Total debt has risen 47% over the same window.
reading capital allocation →Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.
assumptions (10)
- Risk-free rate (10Y Treasury)5.00%
- Equity risk premium5.00%
- Beta (β)1.00
- Equity share of capital85.0%
- Debt spread over risk-free1.50%
- Tax rate21.0%
- Terminal growth2.50%
- Projection period10 years
- FCF growth0.0%
- Starting free cash flow$743M
assumptions (10)
- Risk-free rate (10Y Treasury)5.00%
- Equity risk premium5.00%
- Beta (β)1.00
- Equity share of capital85.0%
- Debt spread over risk-free1.50%
- Tax rate21.0%
- Terminal growth2.50%
- Projection period5 years
- FCF growth0.0%
- Starting free cash flow$743M
assumptions (8)
- Risk-free rate (10Y Treasury)5.00%
- Equity risk premium5.00%
- Beta (β)1.00
- Equity share of capital85.0%
- Debt spread over risk-free1.50%
- Tax rate21.0%
- Normalized earnings$2.42B
- Growth assumed0.0%
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MeritValue on the App Store →- 10-K filed 2024-01-24 · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001067701-24-000007 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
- 10-K filed 2025-01-29 · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001067701-25-000008 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
- 10-K filed 2026-01-28 · periods ending 2023-12-31, 2024-12-31, 2025-12-31 · accession 0001067701-26-000007 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
- 10-K filed 2024-01-24 · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001067701-24-000007 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K filed 2025-01-29 · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001067701-25-000008 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K filed 2026-01-28 · periods ending 2023-12-31, 2024-12-31, 2025-12-31 · accession 0001067701-26-000007 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K filed 2024-01-24 · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001067701-24-000007 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 10-K filed 2025-01-29 · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001067701-25-000008 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 10-K filed 2026-01-28 · periods ending 2023-12-31, 2024-12-31, 2025-12-31 · accession 0001067701-26-000007 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 10-K filed 2024-01-24 · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001067701-24-000007 (PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets)
- 10-K filed 2025-01-29 · periods ending 2022-12-31, 2023-12-31, 2024-12-31 · accession 0001067701-25-000008 (PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets)
- 10-K filed 2022-01-26 · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001067701-22-000008 (LongTermDebtAndCapitalLeaseObligations)
- 10-K filed 2022-01-26 · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001067701-22-000008 (DebtCurrent)
- 10-K filed 2023-01-25 · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001067701-23-000010 (LongTermDebtAndCapitalLeaseObligations)
- 10-K filed 2023-01-25 · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001067701-23-000010 (DebtCurrent)
- 10-K filed 2024-01-24 · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001067701-24-000007 (LongTermDebtAndCapitalLeaseObligations)
- 10-K filed 2024-01-24 · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001067701-24-000007 (DebtCurrent)
- 10-K filed 2025-01-29 · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001067701-25-000008 (LongTermDebtAndCapitalLeaseObligations)
- 10-K filed 2025-01-29 · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001067701-25-000008 (DebtCurrent)
- 10-K filed 2026-01-28 · period ending 2025-12-31 · accession 0001067701-26-000007 (LongTermDebtAndCapitalLeaseObligations)
- 10-K filed 2026-01-28 · period ending 2025-12-31 · accession 0001067701-26-000007 (DebtCurrent)
- 10-K filed 2023-01-25 · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001067701-23-000010 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
- 10-K filed 2024-01-24 · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001067701-24-000007 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
- 10-K filed 2025-01-29 · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001067701-25-000008 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
- 10-K filed 2026-01-28 · periods ending 2024-12-31, 2025-12-31 · accession 0001067701-26-000007 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)