TAPESTRY, INC.

TPRdata completeness 100%19 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'investmentsAtFairValue'; no data for concept 'netInvestmentIncome'; no data for concept 'gainsOnRealEstateSales'; no data for concept 'realEstateImpairment'

The thesis, from the filings

TAPESTRY, INC. earns about 19% on invested capital, far above its ~9% cost of capital, and has bought back 22% of its shares over 5 years — the marks of a durable business run for its owners. The estimate methods put fair value between $41.7 and $173.07 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025FY 2026
Revenue$6.68B1$6.66B2$6.67B3$7.01B3$8B3
Net income$856.3M4$936M5$816M6$183.2M6$1.53B6
Operating cash flow$853.2M7$975.2M8$1.26B9$1.22B9$1.98B9
Capital expenditure$93.9M10$184.2M11$108.9M12$122.7M12$166M12
Free cash flow (derived)$759.3M7$791M8$1.15B9$1.09B9$1.81B9
Total debt$3.36B13$3.3B14$14.2B15$4.79B16$4.78B16
Cash & equivalents$789.8M17$726.1M18$6.14B19$1.1B20$974.7M20
Diluted shares270.1M241.3M233.2M222.5M210.2M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$32.93
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$72.68
Free cash flow it threw off
$86.23
Debt you’d be carrying
$227.19

10 shares is a claim on $32.93 of net worth that earned you $72.68 and generated $86.23 of cash last year, against $227.19 of debt.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
19% avg · 5y
FY22 19%FY23 21%FY24 10%FY25 9%FY26 36%

It earned about 19% on invested capital, year after year, against a ~9% cost of capital — the footprint of real pricing power. Competition usually drags returns like this back down; here it hasn't.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
−22% shares · 5y

Share count is down 22% over 5 years — management has been buying back stock, quietly handing owners a bigger slice. Total debt has risen 42% over the same window.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.5.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $41.7 and $173.07 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$173.07
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.8%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth13.2%
  • fcfBase$1.15B
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$115.3
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.8%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth13.2%
  • fcfBase$1.15B
Earnings Power Value
$41.7
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.8%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$856.3M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$23.77
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years13.2%
Discount rate (WACC)9.05%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $115.3
The three cases
Bear0.0%$58.5
Base13.2%$115.3
Bull18.2%$144.52

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 13.2%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2022-07-02 · accession 0001116132-24-000018 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2023-07-01 · accession 0001116132-25-000019 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2024-06-29 · accession 0001116132-26-000018 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2022-07-02 · accession 0001116132-24-000018 (NetIncomeLoss)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2023-07-01 · accession 0001116132-25-000019 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2024-06-29 · accession 0001116132-26-000018 (NetIncomeLoss)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2022-07-02 · accession 0001116132-24-000018 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2023-07-01 · accession 0001116132-25-000019 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2024-06-29 · accession 0001116132-26-000018 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2022-07-02 · accession 0001116132-24-000018 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  11. 10-K · period ending 2023-07-01 · accession 0001116132-25-000019 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  12. 10-K · period ending 2024-06-29 · accession 0001116132-26-000018 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  13. 10-K · period ending 2022-07-02 · accession 0001116132-23-000020 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  14. 10-K · period ending 2023-07-01 · accession 0001116132-24-000018 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  15. 10-K · period ending 2024-06-29 · accession 0001116132-25-000019 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  16. 10-K · period ending 2025-06-28 · accession 0001116132-26-000018 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  17. 10-K · period ending 2022-07-02 · accession 0001116132-23-000020 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  18. 10-K · period ending 2023-07-01 · accession 0001116132-24-000018 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  19. 10-K · period ending 2024-06-29 · accession 0001116132-25-000019 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  20. 10-K · period ending 2025-06-28 · accession 0001116132-26-000018 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)