Senstar Technologies Corp

SNTdata completeness 88%5 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'totalDebt'; no data for concept 'interestExpense'

The thesis, from the filings

Senstar Technologies Corp earns about 7% on invested capital, below its ~9% cost of capital, with a roughly flat share count — no moat visible in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $1.42 and $1.93 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$34.9M1$35.6M2$32.8M3$35.8M3$36.4M3
Net income$6.42M4$3.83M5−$1.29M6$2.64M6$3.22M6
Operating cash flow$6.03M7−$9.52M8$260,0009$6.66M9$1.76M9
Capital expenditure$792,00010$158,00011$380,00012$273,00012$559,00012
Free cash flow (derived)$5.24M7−$9.67M8−$120,0009$6.38M9$1.2M9
Total debt
Cash & equivalents$14.9M13$14.8M14$20.5M15$22.3M15
Diluted shares23.2M23.3M23.3M23.3M23.5M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$18.42
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$1.37
Free cash flow it threw off
$0.51
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on $18.42 of net worth that earned you $1.37 and generated $0.51 of cash last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
7% avg · 5y
FY21 0%FY22 7%FY23 -5%FY24 15%FY25 15%

It earned about 7% on invested capital against a ~9% cost of capital — below the cost of funding. The numbers show no moat.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+1% shares · 5y

Share count is roughly flat over 5 years — little dilution, little buyback.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $1.42 and $1.93 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$1.93
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$1.2M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$1.86
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$1.2M
Earnings Power Value
$1.42
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$3.22M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$2.41
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years5.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $1.86
The three cases
Bear0.0%$1.68
Base5.0%$1.86
Bull10.0%$2.07

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 5.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001178913-24-001392 (Revenues)
  2. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001178913-25-001415 (Revenues)
  3. 20-F/A · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001178913-26-002698 (Revenues)
  4. 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001178913-24-001392 (NetIncomeLoss)
  5. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001178913-25-001415 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 20-F/A · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001178913-26-002698 (NetIncomeLoss)
  7. 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001178913-24-001392 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  8. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001178913-25-001415 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  9. 20-F/A · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001178913-26-002698 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001178913-24-001392 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  11. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001178913-25-001415 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  12. 20-F/A · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001178913-26-002698 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  13. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001178913-24-001392 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  14. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001178913-25-001415 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  15. 20-F/A · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001178913-26-002698 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)