COMSCORE, INC.

SCORdata completeness 100%17 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'interestExpense'

The thesis, from the filings

COMSCORE, INC. earns about -71% on invested capital, below its ~9% cost of capital, but has diluted owners by 31% over 5 years — no moat visible in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $129.98 and $240.93 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$367M1$376.4M2$371.3M3$356M3$357.5M3
Net income−$50M4−$66.6M5−$79.4M6−$60.2M6−$10M6
Operating cash flow$9.86M7$34.9M8$28.9M9$18.1M9$22.7M9
Capital expenditure$803,00010$1.14M11$1.58M12$813,00012$956,00012
Free cash flow (derived)$9.05M7$33.8M8$27.3M9$17.3M9$21.8M9
Total debt$013$82.4M13$43.8M14
Cash & equivalents$21.9M15$20M16$22.8M17$29.9M17$23.6M17
Diluted shares4.0M4.6M4.8M5.0M5.3M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$209.96
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
−$18.85
Free cash flow it threw off
$41.04
Debt you’d be carrying
$82.61

10 shares is a claim on $209.96 of net worth that earned you −$18.85 and generated $41.04 of cash last year, against $82.61 of debt.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
-71% avg · 5y
FY21 -19%FY22 -41%FY23 -184%FY24 -106%FY25 -5%

It earned about -71% on invested capital against a ~9% cost of capital — below the cost of funding. The numbers show no moat.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+31% shares · 5y

Share count is up 31% over 5 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 2 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $129.98 and $240.93 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$240.93
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth20.0%
  • fcfBase$21.8M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$129.98
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth20.0%
  • fcfBase$21.8M
Earnings Power Value
not applicable
normalized (5y-median) earnings non-positive — EPV undefined
Graham Number
$44.81
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years20.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $129.98
The three cases
Bear0.0%$54.82
Base20.0%$129.98
Bull20.0%$129.98

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 20.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001158172-24-000012 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001158172-25-000021 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001158172-26-000009 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001158172-24-000012 (NetIncomeLoss)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001158172-25-000021 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001158172-26-000009 (NetIncomeLoss)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001158172-24-000012 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001158172-25-000021 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001158172-26-000009 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001158172-24-000012 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  11. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001158172-25-000021 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  12. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001158172-26-000009 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  13. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001158172-25-000021 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  14. 10-K · period ending 2025-12-31 · accession 0001158172-26-000009 (LongTermDebtCurrent)
  15. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001158172-24-000012 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  16. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001158172-25-000021 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  17. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001158172-26-000009 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)