Sana Biotechnology, Inc.

SANAdata completeness 75%7 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'revenue'; no data for concept 'totalDebt'; no data for concept 'interestExpense'

The thesis, from the filings

Sana Biotechnology, Inc. earns about -92% on equity, but has diluted owners by 52% over 5 years — worth asking whether the growth reaches owners. The cash-flow models don't apply cleanly here — the ledger says why below.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue
Net income−$355.9M1−$269.5M2−$283.3M3−$266.8M3−$244.2M3
Operating cash flow−$251.1M4−$290.1M5−$253.6M6−$223.2M6−$143.8M6
Capital expenditure$29.9M7$20.9M8$20M9$33.4M9$938,0009
Free cash flow (derived)−$280.9M4−$310.9M5−$273.6M6−$256.6M6−$144.8M6
Total debt
Cash & equivalents$253M10$176.8M11$133.5M12$127.6M12$71.9M12
Diluted shares166.4M188.3M194.5M230.9M253.2M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$6.35
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
−$9.64
Free cash flow it threw off
−$5.72
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on $6.35 of net worth that earned you −$9.64 and generated −$5.72 of cash last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on equity
-92% avg · 5y
FY21 -49%FY22 -54%FY23 -99%FY24 -106%FY25 -152%

It earned an average -92% on equity over 5 years. Compare that to what it costs to fund the business.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+52% shares · 5y

Share count is up 52% over 5 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0
DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
not applicable
3y-median FCF non-positive — growth-exit DCF not applicable (see EPV)
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
not applicable
3y-median FCF non-positive — growth-exit DCF not applicable (see EPV)
Earnings Power Value
not applicable
normalized (5y-median) earnings non-positive — EPV undefined
Graham Number
not applicable
diluted EPS missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000950170-24-023119 (NetIncomeLoss)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000950170-25-040254 (NetIncomeLoss)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001193125-26-088215 (NetIncomeLoss)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000950170-24-023119 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000950170-25-040254 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001193125-26-088215 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000950170-24-023119 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000950170-25-040254 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001193125-26-088215 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000950170-24-023119 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  11. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000950170-25-040254 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  12. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001193125-26-088215 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)