Reservoir Media, Inc.

RSVRdata completeness 100%7 fiscal years on file
The thesis, from the filings

Reservoir Media, Inc. earns about -1% on invested capital, below its ~9% cost of capital, but has diluted owners by 13% over 5 years — no moat visible in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $1.21 and $34.17 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025FY 2026
Revenue$107.8M1$122.3M2$144.9M3$158.7M4$175.7M4
Net income$13.1M5$2.54M6$644,9377$7.75M8$8.3M8
Operating cash flow$12.5M9$31.2M10$36.2M11$45.3M12$50.1M12
Capital expenditure$202,77413$406,40214$225,67715$81,53816$482,00016
Free cash flow (derived)$12.3M9$30.8M10$36M11$45.2M12$49.7M12
Total debt$539.7M17$311.5M18$330.8M19$388.1M20$455.7M20
Cash & equivalents$17.8M21$14.9M22$18.1M23$21.4M24$25.9M24
Diluted shares58.5M64.8M65.3M65.9M66.3M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$56.96
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$1.25
Free cash flow it threw off
$7.49
Debt you’d be carrying
$68.73

10 shares is a claim on $56.96 of net worth that earned you $1.25 and generated $7.49 of cash last year, against $68.73 of debt.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
-1% avg · 5y
FY22 1%FY23 -0%FY24 -2%FY25 -1%FY26 -1%

It earned about -1% on invested capital against a ~9% cost of capital — below the cost of funding. The numbers show no moat.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+13% shares · 5y

Share count is up 13% over 5 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it. Total debt has fallen 16% — deleveraging.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $1.21 and $34.17 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$34.17
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth20.0%
  • fcfBase$45.2M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$15.74
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth20.0%
  • fcfBase$45.2M
Earnings Power Value
$1.21
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$7.75M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$4.08
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years20.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $15.74
The three cases
Bear0.0%$3.26
Base20.0%$15.74
Bull20.0%$15.74

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 20.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2022-03-31 · accession 0001410578-23-001398 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2023-03-31 · accession 0001410578-24-000975 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2024-03-31 · accession 0001410578-25-001379 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2025-03-31 · accession 0001104659-26-067615 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2022-03-31 · accession 0001410578-23-001398 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2023-03-31 · accession 0001410578-24-000975 (NetIncomeLoss)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2024-03-31 · accession 0001410578-25-001379 (NetIncomeLoss)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2025-03-31 · accession 0001104659-26-067615 (NetIncomeLoss)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2022-03-31 · accession 0001410578-23-001398 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2023-03-31 · accession 0001410578-24-000975 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  11. 10-K · period ending 2024-03-31 · accession 0001410578-25-001379 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  12. 10-K · period ending 2025-03-31 · accession 0001104659-26-067615 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  13. 10-K · period ending 2022-03-31 · accession 0001410578-23-001398 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  14. 10-K · period ending 2023-03-31 · accession 0001410578-24-000975 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  15. 10-K · period ending 2024-03-31 · accession 0001410578-25-001379 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  16. 10-K · period ending 2025-03-31 · accession 0001104659-26-067615 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  17. 10-K · period ending 2022-03-31 · accession 0001410578-23-001398 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  18. 10-K · period ending 2023-03-31 · accession 0001410578-24-000975 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  19. 10-K · period ending 2024-03-31 · accession 0001410578-25-001379 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  20. 10-K · period ending 2025-03-31 · accession 0001104659-26-067615 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  21. 10-K · period ending 2022-03-31 · accession 0001410578-23-001398 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  22. 10-K · period ending 2023-03-31 · accession 0001410578-24-000975 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  23. 10-K · period ending 2024-03-31 · accession 0001410578-25-001379 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  24. 10-K · period ending 2025-03-31 · accession 0001104659-26-067615 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)