RADIANT LOGISTICS, INC

RLGTdata completeness 88%15 fiscal years on file
The thesis, from the filings

RADIANT LOGISTICS, INC earns about 12% on invested capital, comfortably above its ~9% cost of capital, and has bought back 5% of its shares over 5 years — the marks of a durable business run for its owners. The estimate methods put fair value between $2.82 and $4.38 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$899.8M1$1.46B2$1.09B3$802.5M4$902.7M4
Net income$23.1M5$44.5M6$20.6M7$7.69M8$17.3M8
Operating cash flow$14.1M9$24.9M10$97.9M11$17.3M12$13.3M12
Capital expenditure$11.4M13$7.46M14$7.57M15$8.6M16$5.12M16
Free cash flow (derived)$2.67M9$17.4M10$90.3M11$8.66M12$8.14M12
Total debt$28.4M17$71.3M18$4.11M19$019
Cash & equivalents$13.7M20$24.4M21$32.5M22$24.9M23$22.9M23
Diluted shares51.2M50.7M49.6M48.8M48.7M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$46.38
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$3.55
Free cash flow it threw off
$1.67
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on $46.38 of net worth that earned you $3.55 and generated $1.67 of cash last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
12% avg · 5y
FY21 15%FY22 20%FY23 13%FY24 5%FY25 9%

It earned about 12% on invested capital against a ~9% cost of capital — comfortably above the cost of funding, a moderate advantage.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
−5% shares · 5y

Share count is down 5% over 5 years — management has been buying back stock, quietly handing owners a bigger slice. Total debt has fallen 100% — deleveraging.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $2.82 and $4.38 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$2.82
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$8.66M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$3.01
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$8.66M
Earnings Power Value
$4.38
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$20.6M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$6.04
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years0.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $3.01
The three cases
Bear0.0%$3.01
Base0.0%$3.01
Bull5.0%$3.62

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 0.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2021-06-30 · accession 0000950170-23-004697 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0000950170-23-047958 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0000950170-24-105991 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001193125-25-203690 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2021-06-30 · accession 0000950170-23-004697 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0000950170-23-047958 (NetIncomeLoss)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0000950170-24-105991 (NetIncomeLoss)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001193125-25-203690 (NetIncomeLoss)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2021-06-30 · accession 0000950170-23-004697 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0000950170-23-047958 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  11. 10-K · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0000950170-24-105991 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  12. 10-K · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001193125-25-203690 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  13. 10-K · period ending 2021-06-30 · accession 0000950170-23-004697 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  14. 10-K · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0000950170-23-047958 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  15. 10-K · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0000950170-24-105991 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  16. 10-K · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001193125-25-203690 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  17. 10-K · period ending 2021-06-30 · accession 0000950170-23-004697 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  18. 10-K · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0000950170-23-047958 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  19. 10-K · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0000950170-24-105991 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  20. 10-K · period ending 2021-06-30 · accession 0000950170-23-004697 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  21. 10-K · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0000950170-23-047958 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  22. 10-K · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0000950170-24-105991 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  23. 10-K · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001193125-25-203690 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)