REINSURANCE GROUP OF AMERICA INC

RGAdata completeness 88%18 fiscal years on file
The thesis, from the filings

REINSURANCE GROUP OF AMERICA INC earns about 10% on invested capital, barely covering its ~9% cost of capital, and has bought back 2% of its shares over 5 years. The estimate methods put fair value between $139.93 and $926.2 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$16.7B1$16.2B2$18.6B3$22.1B3$23.7B3
Net income$1.17B4$517M5$902M6$717M6$1.18B6
Operating cash flow$4.18B7$1.34B8$4.04B9$9.37B9$4.09B9
Capital expenditure$19M10$25M10
Free cash flow (derived)$4.16B7$1.32B8
Total debt$3.67B11$3.96B12$4.43B13$5.04B14$5.71B14
Cash & equivalents$2.93B15$2.93B16$2.97B15$3.33B15$4.17B15
Diluted shares68.3M67.7M67.1M66.9M66.8M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$2,015.12
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$176.95
Free cash flow it threw off
Debt you’d be carrying
$854.79

10 shares is a claim on $2,015.12 of net worth that earned you $176.95 last year, against $854.79 of debt.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
10% avg · 5y
FY21 14%FY22 8%FY23 11%FY24 8%FY25 10%

It earned about 10% on invested capital against a ~9% cost of capital — roughly what it costs to fund the business, so the numbers show no clear edge.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
−2% shares · 5y

Share count is down 2% over 5 years — management has been buying back stock, quietly handing owners a bigger slice. Total debt has risen 56% over the same window.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $139.93 and $926.2 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$926.2
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$3.29B
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$852
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$3.29B
Earnings Power Value
$139.93
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$902M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$283.21
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years5.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $852
The three cases
Bear0.0%$681.46
Base5.0%$852
Bull10.0%$1,056.05

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 5.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000898174-24-000048 (Revenues)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000898174-25-000027 (Revenues)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0000898174-26-000006 (Revenues)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000898174-24-000048 (NetIncomeLoss)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000898174-25-000027 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0000898174-26-000006 (NetIncomeLoss)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000898174-24-000048 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000898174-25-000027 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0000898174-26-000006 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000898174-23-000046 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  11. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000898174-23-000046 (LongTermDebt)
  12. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000898174-24-000048 (LongTermDebt)
  13. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0000898174-25-000027 (LongTermDebt)
  14. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0000898174-26-000006 (LongTermDebt)
  15. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000898174-26-000006 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  16. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000898174-25-000027 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)