Ralliant Corp

RALdata completeness 100%3 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'interestExpense'

The thesis, from the filings

Ralliant Corp earns about 0% on invested capital, below its ~9% cost of capital, with a roughly flat share count — no moat visible in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $32.58 and $54.17 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$2.16B1$2.15B1$2.07B1
Net income$416.8M2$354.6M2−$1.22B2
Operating cash flow$461.8M3$454.5M3$397.6M3
Capital expenditure$29.2M4$34.3M4$39.2M4
Free cash flow (derived)$432.6M3$420.2M3$358.4M3
Total debt$05$2.3B5
Cash & equivalents$06$07$318.8M7
Diluted shares112.7M112.7M112.8M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$144.88
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
−$108.38
Free cash flow it threw off
$31.77
Debt you’d be carrying
$203.69

10 shares is a claim on $144.88 of net worth that earned you −$108.38 and generated $31.77 of cash last year, against $203.69 of debt.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
0% avg · 3y
FY23 18%FY24 9%FY25 -27%

It earned about 0% on invested capital against a ~9% cost of capital — below the cost of funding. The numbers show no moat.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+0% shares · 3y

Share count is roughly flat over 3 years — little dilution, little buyback.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $32.58 and $54.17 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$54.17
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$420.2M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$48.56
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$420.2M
Earnings Power Value
$32.58
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$354.6M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
not applicable
diluted EPS missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years5.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $48.56
The three cases
Bear0.0%$35.68
Base5.0%$48.56
Bull10.0%$63.98

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 5.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0002041385-26-000023 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0002041385-26-000023 (NetIncomeLoss)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0002041385-26-000023 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0002041385-26-000023 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0002041385-26-000023 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0002041385-26-000023 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0002041385-26-000023 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)