PS International Group Ltd.

PSIGdata completeness 100%4 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'interestExpense'

The thesis, from the filings

PS International Group Ltd. earns about 67% on invested capital, far above its ~9% cost of capital, and has bought back 80% of its shares over 4 years — the marks of a durable business run for its owners. The estimate methods put fair value between $3.61 and $3.97 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$97.2M1$140M2$87.1M2$53.1M2
Net income$2.43M3$4.58M4−$4.83M4−$15.2M4
Operating cash flow$951,3725$7.34M6−$1.84M6−$1.31M6
Capital expenditure$16,2747$1,5498$4.25M8
Free cash flow (derived)$935,0985$7.34M6−$5.55M6
Total debt$2.73M9$11.1M9
Cash & equivalents$7.39M10$10.8M11$8.16M11$8.94M11
Diluted shares20.0M2.5M2.8M4.0M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
−$9.42
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
−$38.08
Free cash flow it threw off
−$13.9
Debt you’d be carrying
$27.78

10 shares is a claim on −$9.42 of net worth that earned you −$38.08 and generated −$13.9 of cash last year, against $27.78 of debt.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
67% avg · 4y
FY22 50%FY23 228%FY24 -78%FY25

It earned about 67% on invested capital, year after year, against a ~9% cost of capital — the footprint of real pricing power. Competition usually drags returns like this back down; here it hasn't.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
−80% shares · 4y

Share count is down 80% over 4 years — management has been buying back stock, quietly handing owners a bigger slice. Total debt has risen 307% over the same window.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 2 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $3.61 and $3.97 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$3.97
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$935,098
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$3.61
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$935,098
Earnings Power Value
not applicable
normalized (5y-median) earnings non-positive — EPV undefined
Graham Number
not applicable
diluted EPS missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years5.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $3.61
The three cases
Bear0.0%$2.8
Base5.0%$3.61
Bull10.0%$4.58

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 5.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001213900-25-037427 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerIncludingAssessedTax)
  2. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001213900-26-050440 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerIncludingAssessedTax)
  3. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001213900-25-037427 (NetIncomeLoss)
  4. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001213900-26-050440 (NetIncomeLoss)
  5. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001213900-25-037427 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  6. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001213900-26-050440 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  7. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001213900-25-037427 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  8. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001213900-26-050440 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  9. 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001213900-26-050440 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  10. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001213900-25-037427 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  11. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001213900-26-050440 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)