Perma-Pipe International Holdings, Inc.

PPIHdata completeness 100%16 fiscal years on file
The thesis, from the filings

Perma-Pipe International Holdings, Inc. earns about 15% on invested capital, comfortably above its ~9% cost of capital, and has bought back 3% of its shares over 5 years — the marks of a durable business run for its owners. The estimate methods put fair value between $9.68 and $11.42 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025FY 2026
Revenue$138.6M1$142.6M2$150.7M3$158.4M4$210.9M4
Net income$6.06M5$5.95M6$10.5M7$8.98M8$17M8
Operating cash flow−$2.57M9−$1.24M10$14.7M11$13.9M12$9.17M12
Capital expenditure$2.26M13$6.98M14$11.1M15$2.88M16$10.4M16
Free cash flow (derived)−$4.84M9−$8.22M10$3.63M11$11.1M12−$1.27M12
Total debt$34.2M17$39.2M18$38.3M19$37.4M20$4.17M20
Cash & equivalents$8.21M21$5.77M22$5.85M23$15.7M24$18.7M24
Diluted shares8.4M8.1M8.1M8.0M8.1M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$111.24
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$20.91
Free cash flow it threw off
−$1.56
Debt you’d be carrying
$5.12

10 shares is a claim on $111.24 of net worth that earned you $20.91 and generated −$1.56 of cash last year, against $5.12 of debt.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
15% avg · 5y
FY22 8%FY23 8%FY24 13%FY25 16%FY26 29%

It earned about 15% on invested capital against a ~9% cost of capital — comfortably above the cost of funding, a moderate advantage.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
−3% shares · 5y

Share count is down 3% over 5 years — management has been buying back stock, quietly handing owners a bigger slice. Total debt has fallen 88% — deleveraging.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $9.68 and $11.42 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$10.35
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$3.63M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$9.68
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$3.63M
Earnings Power Value
$11.42
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$8.98M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$22.87
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years5.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $9.68
The three cases
Bear0.0%$8.14
Base5.0%$9.68
Bull10.0%$11.52

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 5.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2022-01-31 · accession 0001437749-23-011368 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerIncludingAssessedTax)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2023-01-31 · accession 0001437749-24-013321 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerIncludingAssessedTax)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2024-01-31 · accession 0001437749-25-014095 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerIncludingAssessedTax)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2025-01-31 · accession 0001437749-26-012499 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerIncludingAssessedTax)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2022-01-31 · accession 0001437749-23-011368 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2023-01-31 · accession 0001437749-24-013321 (NetIncomeLoss)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2024-01-31 · accession 0001437749-25-014095 (NetIncomeLoss)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2025-01-31 · accession 0001437749-26-012499 (NetIncomeLoss)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2022-01-31 · accession 0001437749-23-011368 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2023-01-31 · accession 0001437749-24-013321 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  11. 10-K · period ending 2024-01-31 · accession 0001437749-25-014095 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  12. 10-K · period ending 2025-01-31 · accession 0001437749-26-012499 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  13. 10-K · period ending 2022-01-31 · accession 0001437749-23-011368 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  14. 10-K · period ending 2023-01-31 · accession 0001437749-24-013321 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  15. 10-K · period ending 2024-01-31 · accession 0001437749-25-014095 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  16. 10-K · period ending 2025-01-31 · accession 0001437749-26-012499 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  17. 10-K · period ending 2022-01-31 · accession 0001437749-23-011368 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  18. 10-K · period ending 2023-01-31 · accession 0001437749-24-013321 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  19. 10-K · period ending 2024-01-31 · accession 0001437749-25-014095 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  20. 10-K · period ending 2025-01-31 · accession 0001437749-26-012499 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  21. 10-K · period ending 2022-01-31 · accession 0001437749-23-011368 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  22. 10-K · period ending 2023-01-31 · accession 0001437749-24-013321 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  23. 10-K · period ending 2024-01-31 · accession 0001437749-25-014095 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  24. 10-K · period ending 2025-01-31 · accession 0001437749-26-012499 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)