PARK OHIO HOLDINGS CORP

PKOHdata completeness 100%17 fiscal years on file
The thesis, from the filings

PARK OHIO HOLDINGS CORP earns about 4% on invested capital, but has diluted owners by 14% over 5 years — worth asking whether the growth reaches owners. The applicable estimate puts fair value near $5.58 a share. Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$1.28B1$1.49B2$1.66B3$1.66B3$1.6B3
Net income−$24.8M4−$14.2M5$7.8M6$31.8M6$23.8M6
Operating cash flow−$43.3M7−$26.6M8$53.4M9$35M9$42.3M9
Capital expenditure$22.3M10$26.9M11$28.2M12$31.4M12$40.3M12
Free cash flow (derived)−$65.6M7,10−$53.5M8,11$25.2M9,12$3.6M9,12$2M9,12
Total debt$597.1M13$669.1M14$645.7M15$628.7M16$635.7M16
Cash & equivalents$54.1M17$58.2M18$54.8M19$53.1M20$44.8M20
Diluted shares12.3M12.2M12.5M13.2M14.0M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom). A derived or summed figure cites every filing line it was built from.

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$272.59
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$17.03
Free cash flow it threw off
$1.43
Debt you’d be carrying
$454.94

10 shares is a claim on $272.59 of net worth that earned you $17.03 and generated $1.43 of cash last year, against $454.94 of debt.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
4% avg · 5y
FY21 2%FY22 5%FY23 8%FY24 4%FY25 2%

It earned an average 4% on invested capital over 5 years. Compare that to what it costs to fund the business.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+14% shares · 5y

Share count is up 14% over 5 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it. Total debt has held roughly steady.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.6.0
not applicable
negative equity value — refusing to publish per-share figure
assumptions (10)
  • Risk-free rate (10Y Treasury)5.00%
  • Equity risk premium5.00%
  • Beta (β)1.00
  • Equity share of capital85.0%
  • Debt spread over risk-free1.50%
  • Tax rate21.0%
  • Terminal growth2.50%
  • Projection period10 years
  • FCF growth5.00%
  • Starting free cash flow$3.6M
not applicable
negative equity value — refusing to publish per-share figure
assumptions (10)
  • Risk-free rate (10Y Treasury)5.00%
  • Equity risk premium5.00%
  • Beta (β)1.00
  • Equity share of capital85.0%
  • Debt spread over risk-free1.50%
  • Tax rate21.0%
  • Terminal growth2.50%
  • Projection period5 years
  • FCF growth5.00%
  • Starting free cash flow$3.6M
$5.58
assumptions (8)
  • Risk-free rate (10Y Treasury)5.00%
  • Equity risk premium5.00%
  • Beta (β)1.00
  • Equity share of capital85.0%
  • Debt spread over risk-free1.50%
  • Tax rate21.0%
  • Normalized earnings$7.8M
  • Growth assumed0.0%
$32.29
assumptions (1)
  • Graham multiplier (P/E × P/B)22.5×

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Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K filed 2024-03-06 · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000076282-24-000013 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  2. 10-K filed 2025-03-06 · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000076282-25-000013 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  3. 10-K filed 2026-03-05 · periods ending 2023-12-31, 2024-12-31, 2025-12-31 · accession 0000076282-26-000007 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  4. 10-K filed 2024-03-06 · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000076282-24-000013 (NetIncomeLoss)
  5. 10-K filed 2025-03-06 · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000076282-25-000013 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K filed 2026-03-05 · periods ending 2023-12-31, 2024-12-31, 2025-12-31 · accession 0000076282-26-000007 (NetIncomeLoss)
  7. 10-K filed 2022-03-16 · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000076282-22-000014 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  8. 10-K filed 2025-03-06 · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000076282-25-000013 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivitiesContinuingOperations)
  9. 10-K filed 2026-03-05 · periods ending 2023-12-31, 2024-12-31, 2025-12-31 · accession 0000076282-26-000007 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivitiesContinuingOperations)
  10. 10-K filed 2024-03-06 · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000076282-24-000013 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  11. 10-K filed 2025-03-06 · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000076282-25-000013 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  12. 10-K filed 2026-03-05 · periods ending 2023-12-31, 2024-12-31, 2025-12-31 · accession 0000076282-26-000007 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  13. 10-K filed 2023-03-16 · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000076282-23-000014 (LongTermDebtAndCapitalLeaseObligationsIncludingCurrentMaturities)
  14. 10-K filed 2024-03-06 · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000076282-24-000013 (LongTermDebtAndCapitalLeaseObligationsIncludingCurrentMaturities)
  15. 10-K filed 2025-03-06 · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0000076282-25-000013 (LongTermDebtAndCapitalLeaseObligationsIncludingCurrentMaturities)
  16. 10-K filed 2026-03-05 · periods ending 2024-12-31, 2025-12-31 · accession 0000076282-26-000007 (LongTermDebtAndCapitalLeaseObligationsIncludingCurrentMaturities)
  17. 10-K filed 2023-03-16 · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000076282-23-000014 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  18. 10-K filed 2024-03-06 · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000076282-24-000013 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  19. 10-K filed 2025-03-06 · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0000076282-25-000013 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  20. 10-K filed 2026-03-05 · periods ending 2024-12-31, 2025-12-31 · accession 0000076282-26-000007 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)