Pioneer Bancorp, Inc./MD

PBFSdata completeness 75%8 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'totalDebt'

The thesis, from the filings

Pioneer Bancorp, Inc./MD earns about 30% on invested capital, far above its ~9% cost of capital, with a roughly flat share count — a real edge showing up in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $6.44 and $24.09 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$12.8M1$13.2M2$13M3$15M4$15.8M4
Net income$1.08M5$10.3M6$21.9M7$15.3M8$20.3M8
Operating cash flow$32.7M9$50M10$26.3M11$23.8M12$11.1M12
Capital expenditure$596,00013$780,00014$451,00014
Free cash flow (derived)$32.1M9$49.2M10$25.8M11
Total debt
Cash & equivalents$325M15$376.1M16$150.5M17$165.2M17$133.7M17
Diluted shares25.1M25.1M25.2M25.2M24.6M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$131.83
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$8.26
Free cash flow it threw off
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on $131.83 of net worth that earned you $8.26 last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
30% avg · 5y
FY21 FY22 FY23 23%FY24 25%FY25 43%

It earned about 30% on invested capital, year after year, against a ~9% cost of capital — the footprint of real pricing power. Competition usually drags returns like this back down; here it hasn't.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
−2% shares · 5y

Share count is roughly flat over 5 years — little dilution, little buyback.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $6.44 and $24.09 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$22.68
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$32.1M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$24.09
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$32.1M
Earnings Power Value
$6.44
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$15.3M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$15.69
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years0.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $24.09
The three cases
Bear0.0%$24.09
Base0.0%$24.09
Bull5.0%$28.6

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 0.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2021-06-30 · accession 0001558370-22-014598 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0001558370-23-016048 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001558370-24-013020 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001104659-26-027092 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2021-06-30 · accession 0001558370-22-014598 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0001558370-23-016048 (NetIncomeLoss)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001558370-24-013020 (NetIncomeLoss)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001104659-26-027092 (NetIncomeLoss)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2021-06-30 · accession 0001558370-22-014598 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0001558370-23-016048 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  11. 10-K · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001558370-24-013020 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  12. 10-K · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001104659-26-027092 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  13. 10-K · period ending 2021-06-30 · accession 0001558370-22-014598 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  14. 10-K · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0001558370-23-016048 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  15. 10-K · period ending 2021-06-30 · accession 0001558370-21-012827 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  16. 10-K · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0001558370-24-013020 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)
  17. 10-K · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001104659-26-027092 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)