OCONEE FINANCIAL CORP

OSBKdata completeness 75%2 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'revenue'; no data for concept 'totalDebt'; no data for concept 'pretaxIncome'

The thesis, from the filings

OCONEE FINANCIAL CORP earns about -7% on equity, with a roughly flat share count. The cash-flow models don't apply cleanly here — the ledger says why below.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2010FY 2011
Revenue
Net income−$1.07M1−$2.12M1
Operating cash flow$3.59M2$2.34M2
Capital expenditure$103,4293$78,1273
Free cash flow (derived)$3.49M2$2.26M2
Total debt
Cash & equivalents$30M4$18.2M4
Diluted shares899,815899,815

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$246.52
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
−$23.61
Free cash flow it threw off
$25.14
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on $246.52 of net worth that earned you −$23.61 and generated $25.14 of cash last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on equity
-7% avg · 2y
FY10 -5%FY11 -10%

It earned an average -7% on equity over 2 years. Compare that to what it costs to fund the business.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
−0% shares · 2y

Share count is roughly flat over 2 years — little dilution, little buyback.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0
DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
not applicable
only 2 years of FCF (need ≥3) — model not applicable
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
not applicable
only 2 years of FCF (need ≥3) — model not applicable
Earnings Power Value
not applicable
only 2 years of net income (need ≥3)
Graham Number
not applicable
diluted EPS missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2010-12-31 · accession 0001019687-12-001135 (NetIncomeLoss)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2010-12-31 · accession 0001019687-12-001135 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2010-12-31 · accession 0001019687-12-001135 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2010-12-31 · accession 0001019687-12-001135 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)