OptimumBank Holdings, Inc.

OPHCdata completeness 75%16 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'totalDebt'

The thesis, from the filings

OptimumBank Holdings, Inc. earns about 24% on invested capital, far above its ~9% cost of capital, but has diluted owners by 200% over 5 years — a real edge showing up in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $5.58 and $74.53 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$10.4M1$19.9M2$35.8M3$59.6M4$64.4M4
Net income$6.3M5$4.02M6$6.28M7$13.1M8$16.6M8
Operating cash flow$3.76M9$10.4M10$6.88M11$15.6M12$17.8M12
Capital expenditure$381,00013$322,00014$668,00015$988,00016$896,00016
Free cash flow (derived)$3.38M9$10M10$6.21M11$14.6M12$16.9M12
Total debt
Cash & equivalents
Diluted shares3.9M6.0M7.24B9.4M11.7M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$104.21
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$14.23
Free cash flow it threw off
$14.49
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on $104.21 of net worth that earned you $14.23 and generated $14.49 of cash last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
24% avg · 5y
FY21 11%FY22 11%FY23 22%FY24 38%FY25 40%

It earned about 24% on invested capital, year after year, against a ~9% cost of capital — the footprint of real pricing power. Competition usually drags returns like this back down; here it hasn't.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+200% shares · 5y

Share count is up 200% over 5 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $5.58 and $74.53 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$74.53
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth20.0%
  • fcfBase$14.6M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$40.74
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth20.0%
  • fcfBase$14.6M
Earnings Power Value
$5.58
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$6.3M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$12.9
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years20.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $40.74
The three cases
Bear0.0%$17.85
Base20.0%$40.74
Bull20.0%$40.74

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 20.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001493152-23-006772 (InterestAndDividendIncomeOperating)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001493152-24-009360 (InterestAndDividendIncomeOperating)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001493152-25-008332 (InterestAndDividendIncomeOperating)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-008143 (InterestAndDividendIncomeOperating)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001493152-23-006772 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001493152-24-009360 (NetIncomeLoss)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001493152-25-008332 (NetIncomeLoss)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-008143 (NetIncomeLoss)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001493152-23-006772 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001493152-24-009360 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  11. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001493152-25-008332 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  12. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-008143 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  13. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001493152-23-006772 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  14. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001493152-24-009360 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  15. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001493152-25-008332 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  16. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-008143 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)