MeritValue

MP Materials Corp. / DE

MPdata completeness 100%7 fiscal years on file
The thesis, from the filings

MP Materials Corp. / DE earns about 7% on invested capital, and has bought back 10% of its shares over 5 years. The applicable estimate puts fair value near $1.43 a share. Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$332M1$527.5M2$253.4M3$203.9M3$224.4M3
Net income$135M4$289M5$24.3M6−$65.4M6−$85.9M6
Operating cash flow$102M7$343.5M8$62.7M9$13.3M9−$155.8M9
Capital expenditure$123.9M10$326.6M11$261.9M12$186.4M12$172.4M12
Free cash flow (derived)−$21.9M7,10$16.9M8,11−$199.2M9,12−$173.1M9,12−$328.1M9,12
Total debt$674.9M13$678.4M14$682M15$908.7M16$998.7M16
Cash & equivalents$1.18B17$136.6M18$263.4M19$282.4M19$1.17B19
Diluted shares189.8M193.5M178.2M169.9M170.1M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom). A derived or summed figure cites every filing line it was built from.

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$116.31
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
−$5.05
Free cash flow it threw off
−$19.29
Debt you’d be carrying
$58.71

10 shares is a claim on $116.31 of net worth that earned you −$5.05 and generated −$19.29 of cash last year, against $58.71 of debt.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
7% avg · 5y
FY21 28%FY22 16%FY23 2%FY24 -3%FY25 -5%

It earned an average 7% on invested capital over 5 years. Compare that to what it costs to fund the business.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
−10% shares · 5y

Share count is down 10% over 5 years — management has been buying back stock, quietly handing owners a bigger slice. Total debt has risen 48% over the same window.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.6.0
DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
not applicable
3y-median FCF non-positive — growth-exit DCF not applicable (see EPV)
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
not applicable
3y-median FCF non-positive — growth-exit DCF not applicable (see EPV)
Earnings Power Value
$1.43
assumptions (8)
  • Risk-free rate (10Y Treasury)5.00%
  • Equity risk premium5.00%
  • Beta (β)1.00
  • Equity share of capital85.0%
  • Debt spread over risk-free1.50%
  • Tax rate21.0%
  • Normalized earnings$24.3M
  • Growth assumed0.0%
Graham Number
not applicable
diluted EPS missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

Beyond this page

This page is free, and so is every other company on MeritValue.

In your AI assistant

Connect the MeritValue MCP server to Claude or another MCP client, ask about MP Materials Corp. / DE, and get these exact figures with their filing receipts — not an improvised DCF.

Get a free key →
Screen by model

Pull the companies with a published value under any model (up to 500 a request, filtered by data completeness) into your own sheet or agent. Screening is what Analyst adds, at $9/month.

See pricing →
On iPhone

Follow MP and keep your own price beside the value. The same engine, with the same receipts.

MeritValue on the App Store →
Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K filed 2024-02-28 · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001801368-24-000014 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  2. 10-K filed 2025-02-28 · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001801368-25-000009 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  3. 10-K filed 2026-02-26 · periods ending 2023-12-31, 2024-12-31, 2025-12-31 · accession 0001801368-26-000008 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  4. 10-K filed 2024-02-28 · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001801368-24-000014 (NetIncomeLoss)
  5. 10-K filed 2025-02-28 · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001801368-25-000009 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K filed 2026-02-26 · periods ending 2023-12-31, 2024-12-31, 2025-12-31 · accession 0001801368-26-000008 (NetIncomeLoss)
  7. 10-K filed 2024-02-28 · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001801368-24-000014 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  8. 10-K filed 2025-02-28 · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001801368-25-000009 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  9. 10-K filed 2026-02-26 · periods ending 2023-12-31, 2024-12-31, 2025-12-31 · accession 0001801368-26-000008 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 10-K filed 2024-02-28 · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001801368-24-000014 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  11. 10-K filed 2025-02-28 · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001801368-25-000009 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  12. 10-K filed 2026-02-26 · periods ending 2023-12-31, 2024-12-31, 2025-12-31 · accession 0001801368-26-000008 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  13. 10-K filed 2022-02-28 · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001801368-22-000010 (LongTermDebt)
  14. 10-K filed 2024-02-28 · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001801368-24-000014 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  15. 10-K filed 2025-02-28 · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001801368-25-000009 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  16. 10-K filed 2026-02-26 · periods ending 2024-12-31, 2025-12-31 · accession 0001801368-26-000008 (LongTermDebt)
  17. 10-K filed 2024-02-28 · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001801368-24-000014 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  18. 10-K filed 2025-02-28 · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001801368-25-000009 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  19. 10-K filed 2026-02-26 · periods ending 2023-12-31, 2024-12-31, 2025-12-31 · accession 0001801368-26-000008 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)