MIND CTI LTD

MNDOdata completeness 88%17 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'totalDebt'

The thesis, from the filings

MIND CTI LTD earns about 25% on invested capital, far above its ~9% cost of capital, with a roughly flat share count — a real edge showing up in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $2.6 and $3.19 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$26.3M1$21.6M1$21.6M2$21.4M2$19.5M2
Net income$5.95M3$5.29M4$5.17M5$4.63M5$2.6M5
Operating cash flow$6.9M6$4.56M7$4.1M8$4.11M8$3.99M8
Capital expenditure$82,0009$130,00010$64,00011$10,00011$27,00011
Free cash flow (derived)$6.82M6$4.43M7$4.04M8$4.1M8$3.96M8
Total debt
Cash & equivalents$4.18M12$5.27M13$2.96M14$4.45M15$8.12M15
Diluted shares20.3M20.4M20.5M20.6M20.6M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$11.17
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$1.26
Free cash flow it threw off
$1.92
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on $11.17 of net worth that earned you $1.26 and generated $1.92 of cash last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
25% avg · 5y
FY21 30%FY22 29%FY23 24%FY24 23%FY25 17%

It earned about 25% on invested capital, year after year, against a ~9% cost of capital — the footprint of real pricing power. Competition usually drags returns like this back down; here it hasn't.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+2% shares · 5y

Share count is roughly flat over 5 years — little dilution, little buyback.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $2.6 and $3.19 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$2.98
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$4.04M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$3.19
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$4.04M
Earnings Power Value
$2.6
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$5.17M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$1.81
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years0.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $3.19
The three cases
Bear0.0%$3.19
Base0.0%$3.19
Bull5.0%$3.87

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 0.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001213900-24-023205 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerIncludingAssessedTax)
  2. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001178913-26-001091 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerIncludingAssessedTax)
  3. 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001213900-24-023205 (NetIncomeLoss)
  4. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001213900-25-024756 (NetIncomeLoss)
  5. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001178913-26-001091 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001213900-24-023205 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  7. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001213900-25-024756 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  8. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001178913-26-001091 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  9. 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001213900-24-023205 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  10. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001213900-25-024756 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  11. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001178913-26-001091 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  12. 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001213900-22-019076 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  13. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001213900-24-023205 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  14. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001213900-25-024756 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  15. 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001178913-26-001091 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)