MakeMyTrip Ltd

MMYTdata completeness 88%10 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'totalDebt'; no data for concept 'interestExpense'

The thesis, from the filings

MakeMyTrip Ltd earns about 2% on invested capital, below its ~9% cost of capital, but has diluted owners by 5% over 5 years — no moat visible in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $39.22 and $68 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$163.4M1$303.9M2$593M3$782.5M3$978.3M3
Net income−$55.6M4−$45.4M5−$11.3M6$216.8M6$95.1M6
Operating cash flow$64.5M7$6.2M8$32.2M9$125.7M9$185.3M9
Capital expenditure$642,00010$3.1M11$7.49M12$5.9M12$4.47M12
Free cash flow (derived)$63.9M7$3.1M8$24.7M9$119.8M9$180.8M9
Total debt
Cash & equivalents$295.1M13$213.3M13$284M13$327.1M14$508.9M14
Diluted shares106.8M108.5M109.7M111.1M112.6M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$106.81
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$8.45
Free cash flow it threw off
$16.06
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on $106.81 of net worth that earned you $8.45 and generated $16.06 of cash last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
2% avg · 5y
FY21 -8%FY22 -5%FY23 -2%FY24 12%FY25 14%

It earned about 2% on invested capital against a ~9% cost of capital — below the cost of funding. The numbers show no moat.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+5% shares · 5y

Share count is up 5% over 5 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 2 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $39.22 and $68 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$68
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth20.0%
  • fcfBase$119.8M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$39.22
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth20.0%
  • fcfBase$119.8M
Earnings Power Value
not applicable
normalized (5y-median) earnings non-positive — EPV undefined
Graham Number
$14.12
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years20.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $39.22
The three cases
Bear0.0%$19.73
Base20.0%$39.22
Bull20.0%$39.22

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 20.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 20-F · period ending 2021-03-31 · accession 0000950170-23-034278 (Revenue)
  2. 20-F · period ending 2022-03-31 · accession 0000950170-24-080082 (Revenue)
  3. 20-F · period ending 2023-03-31 · accession 0000950170-25-086539 (Revenue)
  4. 20-F · period ending 2021-03-31 · accession 0000950170-23-034278 (ProfitLossAttributableToOwnersOfParent)
  5. 20-F · period ending 2022-03-31 · accession 0000950170-24-080082 (ProfitLossAttributableToOwnersOfParent)
  6. 20-F · period ending 2023-03-31 · accession 0000950170-25-086539 (ProfitLossAttributableToOwnersOfParent)
  7. 20-F · period ending 2021-03-31 · accession 0000950170-23-034278 (CashFlowsFromUsedInOperatingActivities)
  8. 20-F · period ending 2022-03-31 · accession 0000950170-24-080082 (CashFlowsFromUsedInOperatingActivities)
  9. 20-F · period ending 2023-03-31 · accession 0000950170-25-086539 (CashFlowsFromUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 20-F · period ending 2021-03-31 · accession 0000950170-23-034278 (PurchaseOfPropertyPlantAndEquipmentClassifiedAsInvestingActivities)
  11. 20-F · period ending 2022-03-31 · accession 0000950170-24-080082 (PurchaseOfPropertyPlantAndEquipmentClassifiedAsInvestingActivities)
  12. 20-F · period ending 2023-03-31 · accession 0000950170-25-086539 (PurchaseOfPropertyPlantAndEquipmentClassifiedAsInvestingActivities)
  13. 20-F · period ending 2021-03-31 · accession 0000950170-24-080082 (CashAndCashEquivalents)
  14. 20-F · period ending 2024-03-31 · accession 0000950170-25-086539 (CashAndCashEquivalents)