Mirion Technologies, Inc.

MIRdata completeness 100%11 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'interestExpense'

The thesis, from the filings

Mirion Technologies, Inc. earns about -3% on invested capital, below its ~9% cost of capital, but has diluted owners by 1293% over 5 years — no moat visible in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $7.13 and $13.14 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$717.8M1$800.9M2$860.8M2$925.4M2
Net income−$158.4M3−$276.9M4−$96.9M5−$36.1M5$28.8M5
Operating cash flow$39.4M6$95.2M7$99.1M7$143.3M7
Capital expenditure$34.2M8$37.1M9$48.8M9$36.4M9
Free cash flow (derived)$5.2M6$58.1M7$50.3M7$106.9M7
Total debt$1.62B10$1.61B11$1.37B12$1.37B13$444.7M13
Cash & equivalents$84M14$73.5M15$128.8M16$175.2M16$412.3M16
Diluted shares18.8M181.1M196.4M205.0M261.2M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$71.47
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$1.1
Free cash flow it threw off
$4.09
Debt you’d be carrying
$17.03

10 shares is a claim on $71.47 of net worth that earned you $1.1 and generated $4.09 of cash last year, against $17.03 of debt.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
-3% avg · 5y
FY21 FY22 -8%FY23 -3%FY24 -1%FY25 2%

It earned about -3% on invested capital against a ~9% cost of capital — below the cost of funding. The numbers show no moat.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+1293% shares · 5y

Share count is up 1293% over 5 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it. Total debt has fallen 73% — deleveraging.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 2 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $7.13 and $13.14 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$13.14
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth20.0%
  • fcfBase$58.1M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$7.13
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth20.0%
  • fcfBase$58.1M
Earnings Power Value
not applicable
normalized (5y-median) earnings non-positive — EPV undefined
Graham Number
$4.21
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years20.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $7.13
The three cases
Bear0.0%$3.05
Base20.0%$7.13
Bull20.0%$7.13

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 20.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001628280-25-008233 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001628280-26-009869 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001628280-24-007670 (ProfitLoss)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001628280-25-008233 (NetIncomeLoss)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001628280-26-009869 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001628280-25-008233 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001628280-26-009869 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001628280-25-008233 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001628280-26-009869 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001628280-23-005646 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  11. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001628280-24-007670 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  12. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001628280-25-008233 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  13. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001628280-26-009869 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  14. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001628280-24-007670 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  15. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001628280-25-008233 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  16. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001628280-26-009869 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)