Magnum Ice Cream Co N.V.

MICCdata completeness 88%3 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'totalDebt'

The thesis, from the filings

Magnum Ice Cream Co N.V. earns about 78% on invested capital, far above its ~9% cost of capital, with a roughly flat share count — a real edge showing up in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between €8.33 and €20.72 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue€7.62B1€7.95B1€7.91B1
Net income€492M2€579M2€293M2
Operating cash flow€914M3€1.11B3€483M3
Capital expenditure€278M4€321M4€357M4
Free cash flow (derived)€636M3€792M3€126M3
Total debt
Cash & equivalents€70M5€441M5
Diluted shares612.3M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
€10.21
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
€4.79
Free cash flow it threw off
€2.06
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on €10.21 of net worth that earned you €4.79 and generated €2.06 of cash last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
78% avg · 3y
FY23 20%FY24 22%FY25 193%

It earned about 78% on invested capital, year after year, against a ~9% cost of capital — the footprint of real pricing power. Competition usually drags returns like this back down; here it hasn't.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
−0% shares · 3y

Share count is roughly flat over 3 years — little dilution, little buyback.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between €8.33 and €20.72 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
€20.72
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase€636M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
€19.15
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase€636M
Earnings Power Value
€8.33
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings€492M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
€3.32
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years5.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth €19.15
The three cases
Bear0.0%€15.56
Base5.0%€19.15
Bull10.0%€23.45

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 5.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001104659-26-029805 (RevenueFromContractsWithCustomers)
  2. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001104659-26-029805 (ProfitLossAttributableToOwnersOfParent)
  3. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001104659-26-029805 (CashFlowsFromUsedInOperatingActivities)
  4. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001104659-26-029805 (PurchaseOfPropertyPlantAndEquipmentClassifiedAsInvestingActivities)
  5. 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001104659-26-029805 (CashAndCashEquivalents)