Massimo Group

MAMOdata completeness 88%4 fiscal years on file
The thesis, from the filings

Massimo Group earns about 35% on invested capital, far above its ~9% cost of capital, but has diluted owners by 4% over 4 years — a real edge showing up in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $0.74 and $2.3 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$86.5M1$115M2$109.3M3$71.8M3
Net income$4.16M4$10.4M5$1.76M6$1.51M6
Operating cash flow$621,2937$10.9M8$6.67M9−$98,2769
Capital expenditure$197,80210$134,66211$387,87612$65,36112
Free cash flow (derived)$423,4917$10.8M8$6.28M9−$163,6379
Total debt$5.6M13$303,58314
Cash & equivalents$947,97115$765,81416$10.2M17$5.79M17
Diluted shares40.0M40.0M41.2M41.6M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$5.69
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$0.36
Free cash flow it threw off
−$0.04
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on $5.69 of net worth that earned you $0.36 and generated −$0.04 of cash last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
35% avg · 4y
FY22 41%FY23 77%FY24 15%FY25 8%

It earned about 35% on invested capital, year after year, against a ~9% cost of capital — the footprint of real pricing power. Competition usually drags returns like this back down; here it hasn't.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+4% shares · 4y

Share count is up 4% over 4 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it. Total debt has fallen 95% — deleveraging.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $0.74 and $2.3 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$2.13
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$6.28M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$2.3
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$6.28M
Earnings Power Value
$0.74
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$2.96M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$0.72
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years0.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $2.3
The three cases
Bear0.0%$2.3
Base0.0%$2.3
Bull5.0%$2.82

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 0.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001493152-24-014560 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  2. 10-K/A · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001641172-25-011711 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-013862 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001493152-24-014560 (NetIncomeLoss)
  5. 10-K/A · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001641172-25-011711 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-013862 (NetIncomeLoss)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001493152-24-014560 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  8. 10-K/A · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001641172-25-011711 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-013862 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001493152-24-014560 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  11. 10-K/A · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001641172-25-011711 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  12. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-013862 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  13. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001493152-24-014560 (ShortTermBorrowings)
  14. 10-K/A · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001641172-25-011711 (ShortTermBorrowings)
  15. 10-K/A · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001641172-25-011711 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)
  16. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-013862 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)
  17. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-013862 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)