Leishen Energy Holding Co., Ltd.

LSEdata completeness 100%4 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'interestExpense'

The thesis, from the filings

Leishen Energy Holding Co., Ltd. earns about 22% on invested capital, far above its ~9% cost of capital, but has diluted owners by 8% over 4 years — a real edge showing up in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $3.32 and $4.29 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$46.7M1$73.1M2$69.1M2$48.3M2
Net income$5.72M3$11.9M4$8.1M4$1.25M4
Operating cash flow−$4.39M5$4.39M6$15.1M6−$3.52M6
Capital expenditure$2.85M7$740,5158$681,2148$170,9788
Free cash flow (derived)−$7.24M5$3.65M6$14.4M6−$3.69M6
Total debt$3.37M9$2.36M10$3.07M11
Cash & equivalents$6.26M12$4.57M13$7.3M13$10.2M13
Diluted shares15.5M15.5M15.5M16.7M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$27.24
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$0.75
Free cash flow it threw off
−$2.21
Debt you’d be carrying
$1.84

10 shares is a claim on $27.24 of net worth that earned you $0.75 and generated −$2.21 of cash last year, against $1.84 of debt.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
22% avg · 4y
FY22 25%FY23 39%FY24 23%FY25 2%

It earned about 22% on invested capital, year after year, against a ~9% cost of capital — the footprint of real pricing power. Competition usually drags returns like this back down; here it hasn't.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+8% shares · 4y

Share count is up 8% over 4 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it. Total debt has held roughly steady.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $3.32 and $4.29 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$3.32
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$3.65M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$3.55
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$3.65M
Earnings Power Value
$4.29
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$6.91M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$2.21
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years0.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $3.55
The three cases
Bear0.0%$3.55
Base0.0%$3.55
Bull5.0%$4.31

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 0.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 20-F · period ending 2022-09-30 · accession 0001493152-25-006894 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  2. 20-F/A · period ending 2023-09-30 · accession 0001493152-26-019563 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  3. 20-F · period ending 2022-09-30 · accession 0001493152-25-006894 (NetIncomeLoss)
  4. 20-F/A · period ending 2023-09-30 · accession 0001493152-26-019563 (NetIncomeLoss)
  5. 20-F · period ending 2022-09-30 · accession 0001493152-25-006894 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  6. 20-F/A · period ending 2023-09-30 · accession 0001493152-26-019563 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  7. 20-F · period ending 2022-09-30 · accession 0001493152-25-006894 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  8. 20-F/A · period ending 2023-09-30 · accession 0001493152-26-019563 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  9. 20-F · period ending 2023-09-30 · accession 0001493152-25-006894 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  10. 20-F/A · period ending 2024-09-30 · accession 0001493152-26-019563 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  11. 20-F/A · period ending 2025-09-30 · accession 0001493152-26-019563 (ShortTermBorrowings)
  12. 20-F · period ending 2022-09-30 · accession 0001493152-25-006894 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)
  13. 20-F/A · period ending 2023-09-30 · accession 0001493152-26-019563 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)