Kimball Electronics, Inc.

KEdata completeness 100%14 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'investmentsAtFairValue'; no data for concept 'netInvestmentIncome'; no data for concept 'realEstateImpairment'; no data for concept 'dividendsPaid'

The thesis, from the filings

Kimball Electronics, Inc. earns about 7% on invested capital, below its ~9% cost of capital, with a roughly flat share count — no moat visible in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $11.54 and $19.57 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025FY 2026
Revenue$1.35B1$1.82B2$1.71B3$1.49B3$1.43B3
Net income$31.3M4$55.8M5$20.5M6$17M6$28M6
Operating cash flow−$83.2M7−$13.8M8$73.2M9$183.9M9$72.3M9
Capital expenditure$74M10$89.4M11$46.1M12$33.3M12$51.5M12
Free cash flow (derived)−$157.1M7−$103.2M8$27.1M9$150.7M9$20.8M9
Total debt$294.8M13$147.1M14$116.2M14
Cash & equivalents$49.9M15$43M16$78M17$88.8M17$88.9M17
Diluted shares25.2M25.1M25.3M25.0M24.8M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$236.25
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$11.29
Free cash flow it threw off
$8.39
Debt you’d be carrying
$46.92

10 shares is a claim on $236.25 of net worth that earned you $11.29 and generated $8.39 of cash last year, against $46.92 of debt.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
7% avg · 5y
FY22 8%FY23 14%FY24 5%FY25 4%FY26 5%

It earned about 7% on invested capital against a ~9% cost of capital — below the cost of funding. The numbers show no moat.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
−2% shares · 5y

Share count is roughly flat over 5 years — little dilution, little buyback. Total debt has fallen 61% — deleveraging.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.5.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $11.54 and $19.57 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$19.57
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.8%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$27.1M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$17.97
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.8%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$27.1M
Earnings Power Value
$11.54
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.8%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$28M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$24.91
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years5.0%
Discount rate (WACC)9.06%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $17.97
The three cases
Bear0.0%$14.26
Base5.0%$17.97
Bull10.0%$22.41

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 5.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0001606757-24-000024 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001606757-25-000027 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001606757-26-000032 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0001606757-24-000024 (NetIncomeLoss)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001606757-25-000027 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001606757-26-000032 (NetIncomeLoss)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0001606757-24-000024 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001606757-25-000027 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001606757-26-000032 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0001606757-24-000024 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  11. 10-K · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001606757-25-000027 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  12. 10-K · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001606757-26-000032 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  13. 10-K · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001606757-25-000027 (LongTermDebt)
  14. 10-K · period ending 2025-06-30 · accession 0001606757-26-000032 (LongTermDebt)
  15. 10-K · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0001606757-24-000024 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  16. 10-K · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001606757-25-000027 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  17. 10-K · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001606757-26-000032 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)