Kodiak AI, Inc.
KDKdata completeness 100%4 fiscal years on fileData notes: no data for concept 'interestExpense'
i. The business — what you’d actually own
| Figure | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | $16.9M1 | $14.9M1 | $3.8M1 |
| Net income | −$3,5422 | −$56.9M3 | −$69.5M3 | −$585.5M3 |
| Operating cash flow | $04 | −$43.8M5 | −$51M5 | −$94.4M5 |
| Capital expenditure | — | $3.27M6 | $3.19M6 | $22M6 |
| Free cash flow (derived) | — | −$47.1M5 | −$54.2M5 | −$116.5M5 |
| Total debt | $07 | $5M8 | $17.6M9 | $41.8M9 |
| Cash & equivalents | $010 | $27.8M11 | $16.7M11 | $50.8M11 |
| Diluted shares | — | 57.9M | 58.4M | 91.2M |
Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).
ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
−$31.03
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
−$64.18
Free cash flow it threw off
−$12.77
Debt you’d be carrying
$4.58
10 shares is a claim on −$31.03 of net worth that earned you −$64.18 and generated −$12.77 of cash last year, against $4.58 of debt.
iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on equity
— avg · 4y
Not enough data in the filings for a return-on-capital reading.
seeing a moat in the numbers →Management signal · capital allocation
+57% shares · 4y
Share count is up 57% over 4 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it.
reading capital allocation →Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.
iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0
DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
not applicable
3y-median FCF non-positive — growth-exit DCF not applicable (see EPV)
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
not applicable
3y-median FCF non-positive — growth-exit DCF not applicable (see EPV)
Earnings Power Value
not applicable
normalized (5y-median) earnings non-positive — EPV undefined
Graham Number
not applicable
diluted EPS missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined
Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →
Sources — the receipts
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001628280-26-016910 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001628280-24-007635 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001628280-26-016910 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001628280-24-007635 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001628280-26-016910 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001628280-26-016910 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001628280-24-007635 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001628280-25-012406 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
- 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001628280-26-016910 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001628280-24-007635 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001628280-26-016910 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)