JACK IN THE BOX INC
JACKdata completeness 75%18 fiscal years on fileThe estimate methods put fair value between $51.4 and $62.97 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.
| Figure | FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.14B1 | $1.47B2 | $1.69B3 | $1.57B3 | $1.47B3 |
| Net income | $165.8M4 | $115.8M5 | $130.8M6 | −$36.7M6 | −$80.7M6 |
| Operating cash flow | $201.1M7 | $162.9M8 | $215M9 | $68.8M9 | $162.4M9 |
| Capital expenditure | $41M10 | $46.5M11 | $60M12 | $91.2M12 | $88.2M12 |
| Free cash flow (derived) | $160.1M7 | $116.4M8 | $155M9 | −$22.4M9 | $74.1M9 |
| Total debt | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cash & equivalents | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diluted shares | 22.5M | 21.2M | 20.8M | 19.6M | 19.1M |
Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).
10 shares is a claim on −$492.43 of net worth that earned you −$42.36 and generated $38.91 of cash last year.
Not enough data in the filings for a return-on-capital reading.
seeing a moat in the numbers →Share count is down 15% over 5 years — management has been buying back stock, quietly handing owners a bigger slice.
reading capital allocation →Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.
The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $51.4 and $62.97 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story.
assumptions (10)
- riskFreeRate4.7%
- equityRiskPremium5.0%
- beta100.0%
- equityWeight85.0%
- costOfDebtSpread1.5%
- taxRate21.0%
- terminalGrowth2.5%
- projectionYears10
- fcfGrowth0.0%
- fcfBase$74.1M
assumptions (10)
- riskFreeRate4.7%
- equityRiskPremium5.0%
- beta100.0%
- equityWeight85.0%
- costOfDebtSpread1.5%
- taxRate21.0%
- terminalGrowth2.5%
- projectionYears5
- fcfGrowth0.0%
- fcfBase$74.1M
assumptions (8)
- riskFreeRate4.7%
- equityRiskPremium5.0%
- beta100.0%
- equityWeight85.0%
- costOfDebtSpread1.5%
- taxRate21.0%
- normalizedEarnings$115.8M
- growthAssumed0.0%
Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →
| Bear | 0.0% | $55.59 |
| Base | 0.0% | $55.59 |
| Bull | 5.0% | $69.05 |
Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.
Default growth 0.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.
- 10-K · period ending 2021-10-03 · accession 0000807882-23-000020 (Revenues)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-10-02 · accession 0000807882-24-000052 (Revenues)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-10-01 · accession 0000807882-25-000072 (Revenues)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-10-03 · accession 0000807882-23-000020 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-10-02 · accession 0000807882-24-000052 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-10-01 · accession 0000807882-25-000072 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-10-03 · accession 0000807882-23-000020 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-10-02 · accession 0000807882-24-000052 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-10-01 · accession 0000807882-25-000072 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-10-03 · accession 0000807882-23-000020 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-10-02 · accession 0000807882-24-000052 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-10-01 · accession 0000807882-25-000072 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)