InvenTrust Properties Corp.

IVTdata completeness 100%17 fiscal years on file
The thesis, from the filings

InvenTrust Properties Corp. earns about 2% on equity, below its ~9% cost of capital, but has diluted owners by 10% over 5 years — no moat visible in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $1.81 and $19.82 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$212M1$236.7M2$258.7M3$274M3$299.2M3
Net income−$5.36M4$52.2M5$5.27M6$13.7M6$111.4M6
Operating cash flow$90M7$125.8M8$129.6M9$136.9M9$155.4M9
Capital expenditure$15.4M10$33.2M11$35.7M12$36.1M12$44.5M12
Free cash flow (derived)$74.6M7$92.6M8$93.9M9$100.8M9$110.9M9
Total debt$533.1M13$754.6M14$814.6M15$740.4M15$822.6M16
Cash & equivalents$44.9M17$137.8M18$99.8M18$91.2M18$40.5M18
Diluted shares71.1M67.5M67.8M71.0M78.3M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$229.04
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$14.22
Free cash flow it threw off
$14.16
Debt you’d be carrying
$105.01

10 shares is a claim on $229.04 of net worth that earned you $14.22 and generated $14.16 of cash last year, against $105.01 of debt.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on equity
2% avg · 5y
FY21 -0%FY22 3%FY23 0%FY24 1%FY25 6%

It earned about 2% on equity against a ~9% cost of capital — below the cost of funding. The numbers show no moat.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+10% shares · 5y

Share count is up 10% over 5 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it. Total debt has risen 54% over the same window.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $1.81 and $19.82 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$19.82
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth7.4%
  • fcfBase$100.8M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$15.33
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth7.4%
  • fcfBase$100.8M
Earnings Power Value
$1.81
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$13.7M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$27.05
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years7.4%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $15.33
The three cases
Bear0.0%$8.39
Base7.4%$15.33
Bull12.4%$21.12

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 7.4%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001307748-24-000016 (Revenues)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001307748-25-000028 (Revenues)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001307748-26-000045 (Revenues)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001307748-24-000016 (NetIncomeLoss)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001307748-25-000028 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001307748-26-000045 (NetIncomeLoss)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001307748-24-000016 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001307748-25-000028 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001307748-26-000045 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001307748-24-000016 (PaymentsForCapitalImprovements)
  11. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001307748-25-000028 (PaymentsForCapitalImprovements)
  12. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001307748-26-000045 (PaymentsForCapitalImprovements)
  13. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001307748-23-000031 (LongTermDebt)
  14. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001307748-24-000016 (LongTermDebt)
  15. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001307748-25-000028 (LongTermDebt)
  16. 10-K · period ending 2025-12-31 · accession 0001307748-26-000045 (LongTermDebt)
  17. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001307748-25-000028 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)
  18. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001307748-26-000045 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)