Innovex International, Inc.

INVXdata completeness 75%18 fiscal years on file
The thesis, from the filings

Innovex International, Inc. earns about 27% on invested capital, far above its ~9% cost of capital, but has diluted owners by 96% over 5 years — a real edge showing up in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $10.21 and $11.04 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$287.9M1$467.2M2$555.5M3$660.8M3$978.3M3
Net income−$128.5M4$63.3M5$73.9M6$140.3M6$83.3M6
Operating cash flow$38.4M7−$5.81M8$75.9M9$93.4M9$190.9M9
Capital expenditure$9.99M10$18.9M10$32.6M10
Free cash flow (derived)$28.4M7−$24.7M8$43.2M9
Total debt$25.4M11
Cash & equivalents$355.5M12$259.4M13$187.3M13$73.3M14$203.4M14
Diluted shares35.3M31.4M32.3M50.6M69.4M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$152.45
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$12.01
Free cash flow it threw off
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on $152.45 of net worth that earned you $12.01 last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
27% avg · 5y
FY21 FY22 FY23 55%FY24 16%FY25 10%

It earned about 27% on invested capital, year after year, against a ~9% cost of capital — the footprint of real pricing power. Competition usually drags returns like this back down; here it hasn't.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+96% shares · 5y

Share count is up 96% over 5 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it. Total debt has held roughly steady.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $10.21 and $11.04 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$10.82
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$28.4M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$10.21
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$28.4M
Earnings Power Value
$11.04
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$73.9M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$20.29
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years5.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $10.21
The three cases
Bear0.0%$8.79
Base5.0%$10.21
Bull10.0%$11.9

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 5.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000950170-23-005506 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000950170-25-031003 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001193125-26-067228 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  4. 10-K/A · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000950170-24-082104 (NetIncomeLoss)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000950170-25-031003 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001193125-26-067228 (NetIncomeLoss)
  7. 10-K/A · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000950170-24-082104 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000950170-25-031003 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001193125-26-067228 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 10-K/A · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000950170-24-082104 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  11. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0000950170-25-031003 (LongTermDebt)
  12. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000950170-23-005506 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  13. 10-K/A · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000950170-24-082104 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  14. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001193125-26-067228 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)