HomesToLife Ltd

HTLMdata completeness 100%4 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'interestExpense'

The thesis, from the filings

HomesToLife Ltd earns about 336% on invested capital, far above its ~9% cost of capital, but has diluted owners by 577% over 4 years — a real edge showing up in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $1.08 and $8.4 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$5.97M1$326M2$335.1M2$377.9M2
Net income$814,7273$10.3M4$8.42M4$16.6M4
Operating cash flow$1.73M5$18.8M6$384,5386$13.5M6
Capital expenditure$14,5617$275,7428$515,5098$1.14M8
Free cash flow (derived)$1.72M5$18.6M6−$130,9716$12.3M6
Total debt$15.3M9$10.4M9
Cash & equivalents$36.2M10$1.37M11$24.9M12$27.3M12
Diluted shares13.3M88.3M89.7M89.7M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$3.1
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$1.85
Free cash flow it threw off
$1.38
Debt you’d be carrying
$1.16

10 shares is a claim on $3.1 of net worth that earned you $1.85 and generated $1.38 of cash last year, against $1.16 of debt.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
336% avg · 4y
FY22 FY23 96%FY24 761%FY25 151%

It earned about 336% on invested capital, year after year, against a ~9% cost of capital — the footprint of real pricing power. Competition usually drags returns like this back down; here it hasn't.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+577% shares · 4y

Share count is up 577% over 4 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it. Total debt has fallen 32% — deleveraging.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $1.08 and $8.4 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$8.4
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth20.0%
  • fcfBase$12.3M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$4.68
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth20.0%
  • fcfBase$12.3M
Earnings Power Value
$1.08
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$9.37M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$1.12
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years20.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $4.68
The three cases
Bear0.0%$2.15
Base20.0%$4.68
Bull20.0%$4.68

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 20.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 20-F/A · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001641172-25-003642 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  2. 20-F/A · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-028303 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  3. 20-F/A · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001641172-25-003642 (NetIncomeLoss)
  4. 20-F/A · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-028303 (NetIncomeLoss)
  5. 20-F/A · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001641172-25-003642 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  6. 20-F/A · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-028303 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  7. 20-F/A · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001641172-25-003642 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  8. 20-F/A · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-028303 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  9. 20-F/A · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-028303 (ShortTermBorrowings)
  10. 20-F/A · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-028303 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)
  11. 20-F/A · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001641172-25-003642 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  12. 20-F/A · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-028303 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)