MeritValue

U S GLOBAL INVESTORS INC

GROWdata completeness 88%17 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'netInvestmentIncome'; no data for concept 'gainsOnRealEstateSales'; no data for concept 'realEstateImpairment'

The thesis, from the filings

U S GLOBAL INVESTORS INC earns about 9% on invested capital, below its ~9% cost of capital, and has bought back 15% of its shares over 5 years — no moat visible in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $2.46 and $2.67 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025FY 2026
Revenue$24.7M1$15.1M2$11M3$8.45M4$10.3M4
Net income$3.44M5$3.15M6$1.33M7−$334,0008$3.06M8
Operating cash flow$10.5M9$2.91M10$990,00011−$822,00012$742,00012
Capital expenditure$220,00013$14,00014$213,00015$7,00016$60,00016
Free cash flow (derived)$10.3M9$2.9M10$777,00011−$829,00012$682,00012
Total debt—————
Cash & equivalents$22.3M17$25.4M18$27.4M19$24.6M20$24.3M20
Diluted shares15.0M14.6M14.2M13.3M12.7M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$35.58
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$2.41
Free cash flow it threw off
$0.54
Debt you’d be carrying
—

10 shares is a claim on $35.58 of net worth that earned you $2.41 and generated $0.54 of cash last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
9% avg · 5y
FY22 11%FY23 12%FY24 6%FY25 -1%FY26 15%

It earned about 9% on invested capital against a ~9% cost of capital — below the cost of funding. The numbers show no moat.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
−15% shares · 5y

Share count is down 15% over 5 years — management has been buying back stock, quietly handing owners a bigger slice.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.5.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $2.46 and $2.67 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$2.61
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.8%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$682,000
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$2.67
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.8%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$682,000
Earnings Power Value
$2.46
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.8%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$3.06M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$4.38
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years0.0%
Discount rate (WACC)9.08%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $2.67
The three cases
Bear0.0%$2.67
Base0.0%$2.67
Bull5.0%$2.85

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 0.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0001437749-23-032363 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerIncludingAssessedTax)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001437749-24-028889 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerIncludingAssessedTax)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001437749-25-028574 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerIncludingAssessedTax)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2025-06-30 · accession 0001437749-26-029613 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerIncludingAssessedTax)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0001437749-23-032363 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001437749-24-028889 (NetIncomeLoss)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001437749-25-028574 (NetIncomeLoss)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2025-06-30 · accession 0001437749-26-029613 (NetIncomeLoss)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0001437749-23-032363 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001437749-24-028889 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  11. 10-K · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001437749-25-028574 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  12. 10-K · period ending 2025-06-30 · accession 0001437749-26-029613 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  13. 10-K · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0001437749-23-032363 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  14. 10-K · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001437749-24-028889 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  15. 10-K · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001437749-25-028574 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  16. 10-K · period ending 2025-06-30 · accession 0001437749-26-029613 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  17. 10-K · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0001437749-23-032363 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  18. 10-K · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001437749-24-028889 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  19. 10-K · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001437749-25-028574 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  20. 10-K · period ending 2025-06-30 · accession 0001437749-26-029613 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)