GILAT SATELLITE NETWORKS LTD

GILTdata completeness 100%17 fiscal years on file
The thesis, from the filings

GILAT SATELLITE NETWORKS LTD earns about 6% on invested capital, below its ~9% cost of capital, but has diluted owners by 7% over 5 years — no moat visible in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $3.56 and $23.69 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$215M1$239.8M2$266.1M3$305.4M3$451.7M3
Net income−$3.03M4−$5.93M5$23.5M6$24.8M6$20.7M6
Operating cash flow$18.9M7$10.8M8$31.9M9$31.7M9$20.7M9
Capital expenditure$8.93M10$12.8M11$10.7M12$6.61M12$11.5M12
Free cash flow (derived)$9.97M7−$1.98M8$21.2M9$25.1M9$9.19M9
Total debt$013$014$2M14
Cash & equivalents$81.9M15$86.6M16$104M17$119.4M17$168.9M17
Diluted shares56.4M56.6M56.7M57.0M60.4M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$82.82
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$3.43
Free cash flow it threw off
$1.52
Debt you’d be carrying
$0.33

10 shares is a claim on $82.82 of net worth that earned you $3.43 and generated $1.52 of cash last year, against $0.33 of debt.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
6% avg · 5y
FY21 -1%FY22 1%FY23 12%FY24 12%FY25 3%

It earned about 6% on invested capital against a ~9% cost of capital — below the cost of funding. The numbers show no moat.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+7% shares · 5y

Share count is up 7% over 5 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $3.56 and $23.69 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$23.69
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth20.0%
  • fcfBase$21.2M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$14.21
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth20.0%
  • fcfBase$21.2M
Earnings Power Value
$3.56
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$20.7M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$7.96
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years20.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $14.21
The three cases
Bear0.0%$7.78
Base20.0%$14.21
Bull20.0%$14.21

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 20.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001178913-24-000993 (Revenues)
  2. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001178913-25-001071 (Revenues)
  3. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001178913-26-000929 (Revenues)
  4. 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001178913-24-000993 (NetIncomeLoss)
  5. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001178913-25-001071 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001178913-26-000929 (NetIncomeLoss)
  7. 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001178913-24-000993 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  8. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001178913-25-001071 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  9. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001178913-26-000929 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001178913-24-000993 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  11. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001178913-25-001071 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  12. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001178913-26-000929 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  13. 20-F/A · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001178913-22-003422 (LongTermDebtCurrent)
  14. 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001178913-26-000929 (LongTermDebtCurrent)
  15. 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001178913-24-000993 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  16. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001178913-25-001071 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  17. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001178913-26-000929 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)