Liberty Media Corp
FWONAdata completeness 88%16 fiscal years on fileThe thesis, from the filings
Liberty Media Corp earns about 2% on invested capital. The cash-flow models don't apply cleanly here — the ledger says why below.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.
i. The business — what you’d actually own
| Figure | FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $11.4B1 | $3.16B2 | $3.57B3 | $3.65B3 | $4.48B3 |
| Net income | $398M4 | $1.82B5 | $761M6 | −$2.06B6 | $555M6 |
| Operating cash flow | $2.44B7 | $2.55B7 | $2.46B7 | $567M8 | $908M8 |
| Capital expenditure | $440M9 | $309M10 | $461M11 | $75M11 | $119M11 |
| Free cash flow (derived) | $2B7 | $2.24B7 | $2B7 | $492M8 | $789M8 |
| Total debt | $37.2B12 | $33.3B13 | $8.45B14 | $5.98B15 | $10.2B15 |
| Cash & equivalents | $2.81B16 | $1.88B17 | $1.41B18 | $2.63B18 | $1.06B18 |
| Diluted shares | — | — | — | — | — |
Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).
iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
2% avg · 5y
FY21 3%FY22 3%FY23 3%FY24 -0%FY25 4%
It earned an average 2% on invested capital over 5 years. Compare that to what it costs to fund the business.
seeing a moat in the numbers →Management signal · capital allocation
— shares · 5y
Total debt has fallen 73% — deleveraging.
reading capital allocation →Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.
iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0
DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
not applicable
no diluted share count — cannot compute per-share value
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
not applicable
no diluted share count — cannot compute per-share value
Earnings Power Value
not applicable
no diluted share count
Graham Number
not applicable
diluted EPS missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined
Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →
Sources — the receipts
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001558370-24-002013 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001558370-25-001830 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001104659-26-020653 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001558370-24-002013 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001558370-25-001830 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001104659-26-020653 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001558370-24-002013 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001104659-26-020653 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivitiesContinuingOperations)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001558370-24-002013 (PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001558370-25-001830 (PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001104659-26-020653 (PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001558370-23-002514 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001558370-24-002013 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001558370-25-001830 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
- 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001104659-26-020653 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001558370-24-002013 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001558370-25-001830 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001104659-26-020653 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)