F&M BANK CORP

FMBMdata completeness 100%17 fiscal years on file
The thesis, from the filings

F&M BANK CORP earns about 45% on invested capital, far above its ~9% cost of capital, but has diluted owners by 3% over 5 years — a real edge showing up in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $24.26 and $44.14 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$35.6M1$42.1M2$56.4M3$64.5M4$67.8M4
Net income$10.7M5$8.32M6$2.77M7$7.29M8$11.2M8
Operating cash flow$21.3M9$17.6M10$2.17M11$7.13M12$16.5M12
Capital expenditure$563,00013$3.64M14$5.45M15$282,00016$724,00016
Free cash flow (derived)$20.7M9$13.9M10−$3.29M11$6.85M12$15.8M12
Total debt$31.8M17$76.9M18$66.9M19$14M19$9.92M20
Cash & equivalents$88.1M21$35M22$23.7M22$57M23$68.9M23
Diluted shares3.4M3.4M3.48B3.5M3.6M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$294.94
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$31.61
Free cash flow it threw off
$44.41
Debt you’d be carrying
$27.91

10 shares is a claim on $294.94 of net worth that earned you $31.61 and generated $44.41 of cash last year, against $27.91 of debt.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
45% avg · 5y
FY21 33%FY22 13%FY23 22%FY24 82%FY25 74%

It earned about 45% on invested capital, year after year, against a ~9% cost of capital — the footprint of real pricing power. Competition usually drags returns like this back down; here it hasn't.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+3% shares · 5y

Share count is up 3% over 5 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it. Total debt has fallen 69% — deleveraging.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $24.26 and $44.14 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$42.07
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$6.85M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$44.14
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$6.85M
Earnings Power Value
$24.26
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$8.32M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$45.79
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years0.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $44.14
The three cases
Bear0.0%$44.14
Base0.0%$44.14
Bull5.0%$50.81

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 0.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001654954-23-003359 (InterestAndDividendIncomeOperating)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001654954-24-003726 (InterestAndDividendIncomeOperating)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001654954-25-003506 (InterestAndDividendIncomeOperating)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001654954-26-002891 (InterestAndDividendIncomeOperating)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001654954-23-003359 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001654954-24-003726 (NetIncomeLoss)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001654954-25-003506 (NetIncomeLoss)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001654954-26-002891 (NetIncomeLoss)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001654954-23-003359 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001654954-24-003726 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  11. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001654954-25-003506 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  12. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001654954-26-002891 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  13. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001654954-23-003359 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  14. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001654954-24-003726 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  15. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001654954-25-003506 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  16. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001654954-26-002891 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  17. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001654954-23-003359 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  18. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001654954-24-003726 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  19. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001654954-25-003506 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  20. 10-K · period ending 2025-12-31 · accession 0001654954-26-002891 (LongTermDebt)
  21. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001654954-23-003359 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  22. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001654954-24-003726 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  23. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001654954-26-002891 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)