Energy Transfer LP
ETdata completeness 88%18 fiscal years on fileData notes: no data for concept 'epsDiluted'
The thesis, from the filings
Energy Transfer LP earns about 11% on equity. The cash-flow models don't apply cleanly here — the ledger says why below.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.
i. The business — what you’d actually own
| Figure | FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $67.4B1 | $89.9B2 | $78.6B3 | $82.7B3 | $85.5B3 |
| Net income | $5.47B4 | $4.76B5 | $3.94B6 | $4.81B6 | $4.43B6 |
| Operating cash flow | $11.2B7 | $9.05B8 | $9.56B9 | $11.5B9 | $10.1B9 |
| Capital expenditure | $2.82B10 | $3.38B11 | $3.13B12 | $4.16B12 | $6.3B12 |
| Free cash flow (derived) | $8.34B7 | $5.67B8 | $6.42B9 | $7.34B9 | $3.85B9 |
| Total debt | $99.4B13 | $96.5B14 | $104.8B15 | $119.5B16 | $136.7B16 |
| Cash & equivalents | $336M17 | $257M18 | $161M19 | $312M20 | $1.27B20 |
| Diluted shares | — | — | — | — | — |
Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).
iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on equity
11% avg · 5y
FY21 14%FY22 12%FY23 9%FY24 10%FY25 9%
It earned an average 11% on equity over 5 years. Compare that to what it costs to fund the business.
seeing a moat in the numbers →Management signal · capital allocation
— shares · 5y
Total debt has risen 37% over the same window.
reading capital allocation →Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.
iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0
DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
not applicable
no diluted share count — cannot compute per-share value
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
not applicable
no diluted share count — cannot compute per-share value
Earnings Power Value
not applicable
no diluted share count
Graham Number
not applicable
diluted EPS missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined
Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →
Sources — the receipts
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001276187-24-000024 (Revenues)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001276187-25-000018 (Revenues)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001276187-26-000013 (Revenues)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001276187-24-000024 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001276187-25-000018 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001276187-26-000013 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001276187-24-000024 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001276187-25-000018 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001276187-26-000013 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001276187-24-000024 (PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001276187-25-000018 (PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001276187-26-000013 (PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001276187-23-000014 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001276187-24-000024 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001276187-25-000018 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
- 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001276187-26-000013 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001276187-23-000014 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001276187-24-000024 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001276187-25-000018 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
- 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001276187-26-000013 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)