Estrella Immunopharma, Inc.

ESLAdata completeness 63%5 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'revenue'; no data for concept 'capex'; no data for concept 'totalDebt'; no data for concept 'interestExpense'

The thesis, from the filings

Estrella Immunopharma, Inc. earns about -171% on equity, but has diluted owners by 3022% over 5 years — worth asking whether the growth reaches owners. The cash-flow models don't apply cleanly here — the ledger says why below.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue
Net income−$247,7181−$996,1041−$11.1M2−$7.31M2−$13.1M3
Operating cash flow−$316,1584−$1.04M4−$1.34M5−$16.1M5−$1.79M6
Capital expenditure
Free cash flow (derived)
Total debt
Cash & equivalents$478,8687$40,8027$2.48M8$4.17M8$1.38M9
Diluted shares1.2M1.4M305,74827.1M36.8M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
−$2.82
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
−$3.55
Free cash flow it threw off
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on −$2.82 of net worth that earned you −$3.55 last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on equity
-171% avg · 5y
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 -171%FY25

It earned an average -171% on equity over 5 years. Compare that to what it costs to fund the business.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+3022% shares · 5y

Share count is up 3022% over 5 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0
DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
not applicable
only 0 years of FCF (need ≥3) — model not applicable
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
not applicable
only 0 years of FCF (need ≥3) — model not applicable
Earnings Power Value
not applicable
normalized (5y-median) earnings non-positive — EPV undefined
Graham Number
not applicable
diluted EPS missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001575872-23-000353 (NetIncomeLoss)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001213900-24-082374 (NetIncomeLoss)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2025-12-31 · accession 0001213900-26-029357 (NetIncomeLoss)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001575872-23-000353 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001213900-24-082374 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2025-12-31 · accession 0001213900-26-029357 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001575872-23-000353 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001213900-24-082374 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2025-12-31 · accession 0001213900-26-029357 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)