Everus Construction Group, Inc.

ECGdata completeness 100%4 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'interestExpense'

The thesis, from the filings

Everus Construction Group, Inc. earns about 23% on invested capital, far above its ~9% cost of capital, with a roughly flat share count — a real edge showing up in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $22.07 and $28.44 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$2.7B1$2.85B2$2.85B2$3.75B2
Net income$124.8M3$137.2M4$143.4M4$201.8M4
Operating cash flow−$25.5M5$171.3M6$163.4M6$156.8M6
Capital expenditure$35.8M7$35.6M8$48.3M8$66.8M8
Free cash flow (derived)−$61.3M5$135.7M6$115.1M6$90M6
Total debt$09$591.3M10$563.1M10
Cash & equivalents$2.11M11$1.57M11$86M11$170.5M11
Diluted shares51.0M51.0M51.1M51.1M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$123.2
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$39.47
Free cash flow it threw off
$17.61
Debt you’d be carrying
$110.15

10 shares is a claim on $123.2 of net worth that earned you $39.47 and generated $17.61 of cash last year, against $110.15 of debt.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
23% avg · 4y
FY22 31%FY23 30%FY24 14%FY25 18%

It earned about 23% on invested capital, year after year, against a ~9% cost of capital — the footprint of real pricing power. Competition usually drags returns like this back down; here it hasn't.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+0% shares · 4y

Share count is roughly flat over 4 years — little dilution, little buyback.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $22.07 and $28.44 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$22.07
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$115.1M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$24.49
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$115.1M
Earnings Power Value
$28.44
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$140.3M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$33.09
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years0.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $24.49
The three cases
Bear0.0%$24.49
Base0.0%$24.49
Bull5.0%$32.27

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 0.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0002015845-25-000012 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0002015845-26-000010 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0002015845-25-000012 (NetIncomeLoss)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0002015845-26-000010 (NetIncomeLoss)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0002015845-25-000012 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0002015845-26-000010 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0002015845-25-000012 (PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0002015845-26-000010 (PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0002015845-25-000012 (LongTermDebtCurrent)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0002015845-26-000010 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  11. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0002015845-26-000010 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)