Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd
DDLdata completeness 88%5 fiscal years on fileData notes: no data for concept 'epsDiluted'
The thesis, from the filings
Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd earns about -23% on invested capital. The cash-flow models don't apply cleanly here — the ledger says why below.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.
i. The business — what you’d actually own
| Figure | FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.16B1 | $3.51B2 | $2.81B3 | $3.16B4 | $3.48B5 |
| Net income | −$1.01B6 | −$117M7 | −$12.9M8 | $41.7M9 | $33.1M10 |
| Operating cash flow | −$889.2M11 | $12.7M12 | −$33M13 | $127.3M14 | $76.6M15 |
| Capital expenditure | $70.9M16 | $18.4M17 | $11.7M18 | $13.5M19 | $25.4M20 |
| Free cash flow (derived) | −$960.1M11 | −$5.73M12 | −$44.8M13 | $113.8M14 | $51.2M15 |
| Total debt | $507.9M21 | $614.4M22 | $464.8M23 | $220.1M24 | $124.6M25 |
| Cash & equivalents | $104M26 | $269.1M27 | $170.3M28 | $121.6M29 | $158.3M30 |
| Diluted shares | — | — | — | — | — |
Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).
iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
-23% avg · 5y
FY21 -152%FY22 -20%FY23 1%FY24 23%FY25 31%
It earned an average -23% on invested capital over 5 years. Compare that to what it costs to fund the business.
seeing a moat in the numbers →Management signal · capital allocation
— shares · 5y
Total debt has fallen 75% — deleveraging.
reading capital allocation →Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.
iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0
DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
not applicable
no diluted share count — cannot compute per-share value
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
not applicable
no diluted share count — cannot compute per-share value
Earnings Power Value
not applicable
normalized (5y-median) earnings non-positive — EPV undefined
Graham Number
not applicable
diluted EPS missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined
Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →
Sources — the receipts
- 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001193125-22-135422 (Revenues)
- 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000950170-23-009098 (Revenues)
- 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0000950170-24-046040 (Revenues)
- 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0000950170-25-055994 (Revenues)
- 20-F · period ending 2025-12-31 · accession 0001193125-26-174971 (Revenues)
- 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001193125-22-135422 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000950170-23-009098 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0000950170-24-046040 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0000950170-25-055994 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 20-F · period ending 2025-12-31 · accession 0001193125-26-174971 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001193125-22-135422 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000950170-23-009098 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0000950170-24-046040 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0000950170-25-055994 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 20-F · period ending 2025-12-31 · accession 0001193125-26-174971 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001193125-22-135422 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
- 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000950170-23-009098 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
- 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0000950170-24-046040 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
- 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0000950170-25-055994 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
- 20-F · period ending 2025-12-31 · accession 0001193125-26-174971 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
- 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001193125-22-135422 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
- 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000950170-23-009098 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
- 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0000950170-24-046040 (ShortTermBorrowings)
- 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0000950170-25-055994 (ShortTermBorrowings)
- 20-F · period ending 2025-12-31 · accession 0001193125-26-174971 (ShortTermBorrowings)
- 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001193125-22-135422 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
- 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000950170-23-009098 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
- 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0000950170-24-046040 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
- 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0000950170-25-055994 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
- 20-F · period ending 2025-12-31 · accession 0001193125-26-174971 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)