Currenc Group Inc.

CURRdata completeness 100%4 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'interestExpense'

The thesis, from the filings

The estimate methods put fair value between $1.82 and $1.89 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$53.3M1$46.4M2$37.8M2
Net income−$1.11M3−$15.3M4−$39.5M5−$18.4M5
Operating cash flow−$756,7166−$15.3M7$3.45M8$7.86M8
Capital expenditure$291,8569$576,67410$479,03410
Free cash flow (derived)−$15.6M7$2.87M8$7.38M8
Total debt$21.5M11$16.7M12$14.4M12
Cash & equivalents$271,46713$48.5M14$63.8M15$75.2M15
Diluted shares34.0M38.2M61.5M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
−$0.92
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
−$3
Free cash flow it threw off
$1.2
Debt you’d be carrying
$2.35

10 shares is a claim on −$0.92 of net worth that earned you −$3 and generated $1.2 of cash last year, against $2.35 of debt.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on equity
avg · 4y

Not enough data in the filings for a return-on-capital reading.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+81% shares · 4y

Share count is up 81% over 4 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it. Total debt has fallen 33% — deleveraging.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 2 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $1.82 and $1.89 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$1.89
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$2.87M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$1.82
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$2.87M
Earnings Power Value
not applicable
normalized (5y-median) earnings non-positive — EPV undefined
Graham Number
not applicable
diluted EPS missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years5.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $1.82
The three cases
Bear0.0%$1.66
Base5.0%$1.82
Bull10.0%$2.01

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 5.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001641172-25-004557 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  2. 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-020709 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001493152-24-011541 (NetIncomeLoss)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001641172-25-004557 (NetIncomeLoss)
  5. 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-020709 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001493152-24-011541 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001641172-25-004557 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  8. 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-020709 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001641172-25-004557 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  10. 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-020709 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  11. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001641172-25-004557 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  12. 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-020709 (LongTermDebtCurrent)
  13. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001493152-23-008441 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  14. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001641172-25-004557 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  15. 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-020709 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)