CTW Cayman

CTWdata completeness 88%3 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'totalDebt'; no data for concept 'interestExpense'

The thesis, from the filings

CTW Cayman earns about 56% on invested capital, far above its ~9% cost of capital, with a roughly flat share count — a real edge showing up in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $0.46 and $0.66 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$62.9M1$68.4M1$90.4M1
Net income$3.4M2$5.98M2$3.83M2
Operating cash flow$2.56M3$1.59M3$111,3753
Capital expenditure$134,7884$710,4574$584,6684
Free cash flow (derived)$2.42M3$877,1903−$473,2933
Total debt
Cash & equivalents$14.6M5$14.5M6$12.2M6
Diluted shares60.0M60.0M60.0M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$4.61
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$0.64
Free cash flow it threw off
−$0.08
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on $4.61 of net worth that earned you $0.64 and generated −$0.08 of cash last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
56% avg · 3y
FY23 79%FY24 64%FY25 25%

It earned about 56% on invested capital, year after year, against a ~9% cost of capital — the footprint of real pricing power. Competition usually drags returns like this back down; here it hasn't.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
−0% shares · 3y

Share count is roughly flat over 3 years — little dilution, little buyback.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $0.46 and $0.66 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$0.48
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$877,190
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$0.46
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$877,190
Earnings Power Value
$0.66
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$3.83M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$0.79
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years5.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $0.46
The three cases
Bear0.0%$0.41
Base5.0%$0.46
Bull10.0%$0.52

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 5.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 20-F · period ending 2023-07-31 · accession 0001213900-25-111604 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerIncludingAssessedTax)
  2. 20-F · period ending 2023-07-31 · accession 0001213900-25-111604 (NetIncomeLoss)
  3. 20-F · period ending 2023-07-31 · accession 0001213900-25-111604 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  4. 20-F · period ending 2023-07-31 · accession 0001213900-25-111604 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  5. 20-F · period ending 2023-07-31 · accession 0001213900-25-111604 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)
  6. 20-F · period ending 2024-07-31 · accession 0001213900-25-111604 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)