CITIUS ONCOLOGY, INC.

CTORdata completeness 63%5 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'revenue'; no data for concept 'capex'; no data for concept 'totalDebt'

The thesis, from the filings

CITIUS ONCOLOGY, INC. earns about -39% on invested capital, but has diluted owners by 5361% over 5 years — worth asking whether the growth reaches owners. The cash-flow models don't apply cleanly here — the ledger says why below.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2022FY 2023FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue
Net income$380,8111−$12.7M2$2.42M1−$21.1M3−$24.8M3
Operating cash flow−$47,9684−$601,3044$126,3535−$5.49M5
Capital expenditure
Free cash flow (derived)
Total debt
Cash & equivalents$1126$3.92M6
Diluted shares1.3M67.5M6.6M68.1M73.3M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$6.12
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
−$3.38
Free cash flow it threw off
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on $6.12 of net worth that earned you −$3.38 last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
-39% avg · 5y
FY22 FY23 -37%FY23 FY24 -35%FY25 -45%

It earned an average -39% on invested capital over 5 years. Compare that to what it costs to fund the business.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+5361% shares · 5y

Share count is up 5361% over 5 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0
DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
not applicable
only 0 years of FCF (need ≥3) — model not applicable
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
not applicable
only 0 years of FCF (need ≥3) — model not applicable
Earnings Power Value
not applicable
normalized (5y-median) earnings non-positive — EPV undefined
Graham Number
not applicable
diluted EPS missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001493152-24-014850 (NetIncomeLoss)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2023-09-30 · accession 0001213900-24-113150 (NetIncomeLoss)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2024-09-30 · accession 0001213900-25-125331 (NetIncomeLoss)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001493152-24-014850 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2024-09-30 · accession 0001213900-25-125331 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2024-09-30 · accession 0001213900-25-125331 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)