Copper Property CTL Pass Through Trust

CPPTLdata completeness 63%5 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'revenue'; no data for concept 'totalDebt'; no data for concept 'incomeTaxExpense'; no data for concept 'pretaxIncome'

The thesis, from the filings

Copper Property CTL Pass Through Trust earns about 7% on equity, below its ~9% cost of capital, with a roughly flat share count — no moat visible in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $10.19 and $21.08 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue
Net income$196.7M1$87.5M2$69.2M3$73.8M3$47M3
Operating cash flow$78.4M4$89.5M5$92.5M6$92.2M6$79.3M6
Capital expenditure$07$89,0008$08$08
Free cash flow (derived)$78.4M4$89.4M5$92.5M6$92.2M6
Total debt
Cash & equivalents$627.5M9$48.9M10$38M11$51.9M12$37.1M12
Diluted shares75.0M75.0M75.0M75.0M75.0M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$124.34
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$6.27
Free cash flow it threw off
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on $124.34 of net worth that earned you $6.27 last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on equity
7% avg · 5y
FY21 10%FY22 8%FY23 6%FY24 7%FY25 5%

It earned about 7% on equity against a ~9% cost of capital — below the cost of funding. The numbers show no moat.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
−0% shares · 5y

Share count is roughly flat over 5 years — little dilution, little buyback.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $10.19 and $21.08 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$21.08
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth3.2%
  • fcfBase$92.2M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$20.65
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth3.2%
  • fcfBase$92.2M
Earnings Power Value
$10.19
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$73.8M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$13.28
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years3.2%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $20.65
The three cases
Bear0.0%$18.06
Base3.2%$20.65
Bull8.2%$25.42

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 3.2%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001837671-24-000015 (NetIncomeLoss)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001837671-25-000011 (NetIncomeLoss)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001837671-26-000019 (NetIncomeLoss)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001837671-24-000015 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001837671-25-000011 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001837671-26-000019 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001837671-24-000015 (PaymentsForCapitalImprovements)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001837671-25-000011 (PaymentsForCapitalImprovements)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001837671-23-000017 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001837671-24-000015 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  11. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001837671-25-000011 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  12. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001837671-26-000019 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)