Central Plains Bancshares, Inc.

CPBIdata completeness 88%4 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'totalDebt'

The thesis, from the filings

Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. earns about 17% on invested capital, comfortably above its ~9% cost of capital — a real edge showing up in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $10.08 and $20.7 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2023FY 2024FY 2025FY 2026
Revenue$16.1M1$21M2$24.7M3$27.7M3
Net income$1.65M4$3.76M5$3.65M6$4M6
Operating cash flow$4.47M7$5.71M8$4.46M9$6.69M9
Capital expenditure$303,00010$2.28M11$7.53M12$878,00012
Free cash flow (derived)$4.17M7$3.43M8−$3.07M9$5.81M9
Total debt
Cash & equivalents$16.6M13$11.5M14$28.7M15$29.9M15
Diluted shares01.7M3.8M3.8M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$233.52
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$10.5
Free cash flow it threw off
$15.24
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on $233.52 of net worth that earned you $10.5 and generated $15.24 of cash last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
17% avg · 4y
FY23 18%FY24 14%FY25 19%FY26 19%

It earned about 17% on invested capital against a ~9% cost of capital — comfortably above the cost of funding, a moderate advantage.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
shares · 4y

Not enough history to read capital allocation.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $10.08 and $20.7 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$19.74
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$3.43M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$20.7
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$3.43M
Earnings Power Value
$10.08
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$3.71M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$23.49
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years0.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $20.7
The three cases
Bear0.0%$20.7
Base0.0%$20.7
Bull5.0%$23.81

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 0.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2023-03-31 · accession 0000950170-24-076246 (InterestAndDividendIncomeOperating)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2024-03-31 · accession 0000950170-25-090434 (InterestAndDividendIncomeOperating)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2025-03-31 · accession 0001193125-26-275962 (InterestAndDividendIncomeOperating)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2023-03-31 · accession 0000950170-24-076246 (NetIncomeLoss)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2024-03-31 · accession 0000950170-25-090434 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2025-03-31 · accession 0001193125-26-275962 (NetIncomeLoss)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2023-03-31 · accession 0000950170-24-076246 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2024-03-31 · accession 0000950170-25-090434 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2025-03-31 · accession 0001193125-26-275962 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2023-03-31 · accession 0000950170-24-076246 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  11. 10-K · period ending 2024-03-31 · accession 0000950170-25-090434 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  12. 10-K · period ending 2025-03-31 · accession 0001193125-26-275962 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  13. 10-K · period ending 2023-03-31 · accession 0000950170-24-076246 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  14. 10-K · period ending 2024-03-31 · accession 0000950170-25-090434 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  15. 10-K · period ending 2025-03-31 · accession 0001193125-26-275962 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)