Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.
COKEdata completeness 88%17 fiscal years on fileThe thesis, from the filings
Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. earns about 16% on invested capital. The cash-flow models don't apply cleanly here — the ledger says why below.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.
i. The business — what you’d actually own
| Figure | FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.56B1 | $6.2B2 | $6.65B3 | $6.9B3 | $7.23B3 |
| Net income | $189.6M4 | $430.2M5 | $408.4M6 | $633.1M6 | $570.6M6 |
| Operating cash flow | $521.8M7 | $554.5M8 | $810.7M9 | $876.4M9 | $931.9M9 |
| Capital expenditure | $155.7M10 | $298.6M11 | $282.3M12 | $371M12 | $312.3M12 |
| Free cash flow (derived) | $366.1M7 | $255.9M8 | $528.4M9 | $505.3M9 | $619.6M9 |
| Total debt | $1.45B13 | $1.2B14 | $1.2B15 | $3.57B16 | $5.57B16 |
| Cash & equivalents | $142.3M17 | $197.6M18 | $635.3M19 | $1.14B20 | $281.9M20 |
| Diluted shares | — | — | — | — | — |
Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).
iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
16% avg · 5y
FY21 11%FY22 21%FY23 20%FY24 16%FY25 13%
It earned an average 16% on invested capital over 5 years. Compare that to what it costs to fund the business.
seeing a moat in the numbers →Management signal · capital allocation
— shares · 5y
Total debt has risen 285% over the same window.
reading capital allocation →Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.
iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0
DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
not applicable
no diluted share count — cannot compute per-share value
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
not applicable
no diluted share count — cannot compute per-share value
Earnings Power Value
not applicable
no diluted share count
Graham Number
not applicable
diluted EPS missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined
Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →
Sources — the receipts
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000317540-24-000009 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000317540-25-000025 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001628280-26-009057 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000317540-24-000009 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000317540-25-000025 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001628280-26-009057 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000317540-24-000009 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000317540-25-000025 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001628280-26-009057 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000317540-24-000009 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000317540-25-000025 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001628280-26-009057 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000317540-23-000009 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000317540-24-000009 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0000317540-25-000025 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
- 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001628280-26-009057 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000317540-23-000009 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000317540-24-000009 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0000317540-25-000025 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
- 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001628280-26-009057 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)