CIRTRAN CORP

CIRXdata completeness 63%13 fiscal years on file
The thesis, from the filings

The estimate methods put fair value between $1.22 and $1.33 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$2.92M1$1.72M2$1.62M3$1.3M4$3.13M4
Net income$126,2125−$1.5M6$20.3M7−$2.63M8−$701,6348
Operating cash flow$344,4589$159,30410−$72,60711−$46,35412−$1.34M12
Capital expenditure$3,79813$8,41414
Free cash flow (derived)$340,6609−$81,02111
Total debt
Cash & equivalents$5,47215$18,08115
Diluted shares144.3M4.9M4.9M4.9M4.9M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
−$50.77
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
−$1.42
Free cash flow it threw off
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on −$50.77 of net worth that earned you −$1.42 last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on equity
avg · 5y

Not enough data in the filings for a return-on-capital reading.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
−97% shares · 5y

Share count is down 97% over 5 years — management has been buying back stock, quietly handing owners a bigger slice.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 2 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $1.22 and $1.33 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$1.33
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$340,660
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$1.22
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$340,660
Earnings Power Value
not applicable
normalized (5y-median) earnings non-positive — EPV undefined
Graham Number
not applicable
diluted EPS missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years5.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $1.22
The three cases
Bear0.0%$0.98
Base5.0%$1.22
Bull10.0%$1.51

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 5.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001493152-23-012637 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001493152-24-015391 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001641172-25-004894 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-016869 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001493152-23-012637 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001493152-24-015391 (NetIncomeLoss)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001641172-25-004894 (NetIncomeLoss)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-016869 (NetIncomeLoss)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001493152-23-012637 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001493152-24-015391 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  11. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001641172-25-004894 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  12. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001493152-26-016869 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  13. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001493152-23-012637 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  14. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001641172-25-004894 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  15. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001493152-23-012637 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)