CHUNGHWA TELECOM CO LTD

CHTdata completeness 88%8 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'totalDebt'; no data for concept 'interestExpense'

The thesis, from the filings

CHUNGHWA TELECOM CO LTD earns about 11% on invested capital, comfortably above its ~9% cost of capital, with a roughly flat share count — a real edge showing up in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $1.59 and $2.81 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2020FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024
Revenue$7.39B1$7.59B2$7.05B3$7.29B4$7.01B5
Net income$1.19B6$1.28B7$1.18B8$1.21B9$1.13B10
Operating cash flow$2.65B11$2.7B12$2.47B13$2.44B14$2.42B15
Capital expenditure$838M16$1.27B17$1.03B18$1B19$877M20
Free cash flow (derived)$1.81B11$1.43B12$1.45B13$1.43B14$1.54B15
Total debt
Cash & equivalents$1.1B21$1.29B22$1.64B23$1.03B24$1.11B24
Diluted shares7.76B7.76B7.76B7.76B7.76B

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$15.05
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$1.46
Free cash flow it threw off
$1.99
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on $15.05 of net worth that earned you $1.46 and generated $1.99 of cash last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
11% avg · 5y
FY20 10%FY21 11%FY22 12%FY23 11%FY24 11%

It earned about 11% on invested capital against a ~9% cost of capital — comfortably above the cost of funding, a moderate advantage.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
−0% shares · 5y

Share count is roughly flat over 5 years — little dilution, little buyback.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $1.59 and $2.81 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$2.61
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$1.45B
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$2.81
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$1.45B
Earnings Power Value
$1.59
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$1.19B
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$2.25
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years0.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $2.81
The three cases
Bear0.0%$2.81
Base0.0%$2.81
Bull5.0%$3.45

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 0.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 20-F · period ending 2020-12-31 · accession 0000950123-21-004659 (Revenue)
  2. 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001564590-22-014521 (Revenue)
  3. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000950170-23-012951 (Revenue)
  4. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0000950170-24-044919 (Revenue)
  5. 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0000950170-25-054474 (Revenue)
  6. 20-F · period ending 2020-12-31 · accession 0000950123-21-004659 (ProfitLossAttributableToOwnersOfParent)
  7. 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001564590-22-014521 (ProfitLossAttributableToOwnersOfParent)
  8. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000950170-23-012951 (ProfitLossAttributableToOwnersOfParent)
  9. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0000950170-24-044919 (ProfitLossAttributableToOwnersOfParent)
  10. 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0000950170-25-054474 (ProfitLossAttributableToOwnersOfParent)
  11. 20-F · period ending 2020-12-31 · accession 0000950123-21-004659 (CashFlowsFromUsedInOperatingActivities)
  12. 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001564590-22-014521 (CashFlowsFromUsedInOperatingActivities)
  13. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000950170-23-012951 (CashFlowsFromUsedInOperatingActivities)
  14. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0000950170-24-044919 (CashFlowsFromUsedInOperatingActivities)
  15. 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0000950170-25-054474 (CashFlowsFromUsedInOperatingActivities)
  16. 20-F · period ending 2020-12-31 · accession 0000950123-21-004659 (PurchaseOfPropertyPlantAndEquipmentClassifiedAsInvestingActivities)
  17. 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001564590-22-014521 (PurchaseOfPropertyPlantAndEquipmentClassifiedAsInvestingActivities)
  18. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000950170-23-012951 (PurchaseOfPropertyPlantAndEquipmentClassifiedAsInvestingActivities)
  19. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0000950170-24-044919 (PurchaseOfPropertyPlantAndEquipmentClassifiedAsInvestingActivities)
  20. 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0000950170-25-054474 (PurchaseOfPropertyPlantAndEquipmentClassifiedAsInvestingActivities)
  21. 20-F · period ending 2020-12-31 · accession 0001564590-22-014521 (CashAndCashEquivalents)
  22. 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0000950170-23-012951 (CashAndCashEquivalents)
  23. 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0000950170-24-044919 (CashAndCashEquivalents)
  24. 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0000950170-25-054474 (CashAndCashEquivalents)