MeritValue

BETTERWARE DE MEXICO, S.A.P.I. DE C.V

BWMXdata completeness 25%3 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'operatingCashFlow'; no data for concept 'capex'; no data for concept 'cash'; no data for concept 'totalDebt'; no data for concept 'stockholdersEquity'; no data for concept 'interestExpense'; no data for concept 'incomeTaxExpense'; no data for concept 'pretaxIncome'

The thesis, from the filings

The applicable estimate puts fair value near $242.31 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2020FY 2021FY 2022
Revenue$7.24B1$10.1B1—
Net income$298.4M2$1.75B2$872.6M2
Operating cash flow———
Capital expenditure———
Free cash flow (derived)———
Total debt———
Cash & equivalents———
Diluted shares34.1M37.3M37.3M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
—
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$233.83
Free cash flow it threw off
—
Debt you’d be carrying
—

10 shares of this business that earned you $233.83 last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on equity
— avg · 3y

Not enough data in the filings for a return-on-capital reading.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+9% shares · 3y

Share count is up 9% over 3 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0
DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
not applicable
only 0 years of FCF (need ≥3) — model not applicable
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
not applicable
only 0 years of FCF (need ≥3) — model not applicable
Earnings Power Value
$242.31
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$872.6M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
not applicable
book value / share count missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

Sources — the receipts
  1. 20-F · period ending 2020-12-31 · accession 0001213900-23-040005 (RevenueFromContractsWithCustomers)
  2. 20-F · period ending 2020-12-31 · accession 0001213900-23-040005 (ProfitLossAttributableToOwnersOfParent)