Burning Rock Biotech Ltd
BNRdata completeness 75%6 fiscal years on fileThe thesis, from the filings
Burning Rock Biotech Ltd earns about -261% on invested capital. The cash-flow models don't apply cleanly here — the ledger says why below.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.
i. The business — what you’d actually own
| Figure | FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $79.7M1 | $81.7M2 | $75.7M3 | $70.7M4 | $77.2M5 |
| Net income | −$125M6 | −$140.8M7 | −$92.1M8 | −$47.5M9 | −$7.92M10 |
| Operating cash flow | −$75M11 | −$66.2M12 | −$36M13 | −$12.6M14 | −$4.07M15 |
| Capital expenditure | $32.1M16 | $8.99M17 | $1.14M18 | $742,00019 | $751,00020 |
| Free cash flow (derived) | −$107.1M11 | −$75.2M12 | −$37.2M13 | −$13.4M14 | −$4.82M15 |
| Total debt | $372,00021 | $022 | — | — | — |
| Cash & equivalents | $224.6M23 | $131.3M24 | $86.6M25 | $71.2M26 | $68.4M27 |
| Diluted shares | — | — | — | — | — |
Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).
iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
-261% avg · 5y
FY21 -151%FY22 -303%FY23 -336%FY24 -441%FY25 -75%
It earned an average -261% on invested capital over 5 years. Compare that to what it costs to fund the business.
seeing a moat in the numbers →Management signal · capital allocation
— shares · 5y
Total debt has fallen 100% — deleveraging.
reading capital allocation →Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.
iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0
DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
not applicable
3y-median FCF non-positive — growth-exit DCF not applicable (see EPV)
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
not applicable
3y-median FCF non-positive — growth-exit DCF not applicable (see EPV)
Earnings Power Value
not applicable
normalized (5y-median) earnings non-positive — EPV undefined
Graham Number
not applicable
diluted EPS missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined
Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →
Sources — the receipts
- 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001193125-22-133522 (Revenues)
- 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001193125-23-108289 (Revenues)
- 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001193125-24-119655 (Revenues)
- 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001193125-25-101753 (Revenues)
- 20-F · period ending 2025-12-31 · accession 0001193125-26-183377 (Revenues)
- 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001193125-22-133522 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001193125-23-108289 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001193125-24-119655 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001193125-25-101753 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 20-F · period ending 2025-12-31 · accession 0001193125-26-183377 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001193125-22-133522 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001193125-23-108289 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001193125-24-119655 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001193125-25-101753 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 20-F · period ending 2025-12-31 · accession 0001193125-26-183377 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001193125-22-133522 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
- 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001193125-23-108289 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
- 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001193125-24-119655 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
- 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001193125-25-101753 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
- 20-F · period ending 2025-12-31 · accession 0001193125-26-183377 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
- 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001193125-22-133522 (ShortTermBorrowings)
- 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001193125-23-108289 (ShortTermBorrowings)
- 20-F · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001193125-22-133522 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
- 20-F · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001193125-23-108289 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
- 20-F · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001193125-24-119655 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
- 20-F · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001193125-25-101753 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
- 20-F · period ending 2025-12-31 · accession 0001193125-26-183377 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)